Acco Brands Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ACCO Stock | USD 4.07 0.09 2.26% |
Acco Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Acco Brands' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Acco Brands' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Acco Brands fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Acco Brands' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.38 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.8433 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0533 | Wall Street Target Price 8.6667 |
Using Acco Brands hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acco Brands from the perspective of Acco Brands response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Acco Brands using Acco Brands' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Acco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Acco Brands' stock price.
Acco Brands Implied Volatility | 1.04 |
Acco Brands' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Acco Brands stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Acco Brands' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Acco Brands stock will not fluctuate a lot when Acco Brands' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Acco Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 4.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.28. Acco Brands after-hype prediction price | USD 4.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acco Brands to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Acco Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Acco Brands' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Acco Brands' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Acco Brands stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Acco Brands' open interest, investors have to compare it to Acco Brands' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Acco Brands is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Acco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Acco Brands Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Acco Brands Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Acco Brands on the next trading day is expected to be 4.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Acco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Acco Brands' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Acco Brands Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Acco Brands | Acco Brands Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Acco Brands Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Acco Brands' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Acco Brands' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.40 and 5.74, respectively. We have considered Acco Brands' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Acco Brands stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Acco Brands stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.9516 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0174 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0546 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0147 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.275 |
Predictive Modules for Acco Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acco Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acco Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acco Brands After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acco Brands at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acco Brands or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acco Brands, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acco Brands Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acco Brands' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acco Brands' historical news coverage. Acco Brands' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.39 and 5.73, respectively. We have considered Acco Brands' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acco Brands is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acco Brands is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acco Brands Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acco Brands is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acco Brands backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acco Brands, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.67 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
4.07 | 4.06 | 0.25 |
|
Acco Brands Hype Timeline
Acco Brands is presently traded for 4.07. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Acco is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 4.06. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Acco Brands is about 20875.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.07. About 84.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.56. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Acco Brands has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.37. The entity last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The firm had 3:2 split on the 1st of September 1989. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acco Brands to cross-verify your projections.Acco Brands Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acco Brands' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acco Brands' future price movements. Getting to know how Acco Brands' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acco Brands may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SBC | SBC Communications | (0.10) | 10 per month | 2.43 | 0.13 | 7.42 | (3.83) | 17.06 | |
| KNOP | KNOT Offshore Partners | 0.1 | 9 per month | 1.14 | 0.1 | 4.31 | (2.13) | 12.63 | |
| MTW | Manitowoc | (0.17) | 9 per month | 1.74 | 0.19 | 5.31 | (2.88) | 14.96 | |
| LXFR | Luxfer Holdings PLC | (0.05) | 8 per month | 1.10 | 0.21 | 2.92 | (2.58) | 6.05 | |
| EBF | Ennis Inc | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.88 | 0.22 | 2.45 | (1.87) | 6.77 | |
| SPIR | Spire Global | 0.16 | 9 per month | 6.84 | 0.03 | 8.32 | (6.80) | 31.88 | |
| WNC | Wabash National | 0.62 | 8 per month | 1.96 | 0.16 | 5.45 | (3.47) | 16.28 | |
| BBCP | Concrete Pumping Holdings | (0.16) | 6 per month | 2.75 | (0.02) | 4.50 | (4.43) | 15.27 | |
| FSTR | LB Foster | (0.58) | 8 per month | 1.43 | 0.07 | 3.69 | (2.38) | 11.26 | |
| PKOH | Park Ohio Holdings | 0.24 | 8 per month | 2.49 | 0.10 | 5.27 | (3.60) | 14.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for Acco Brands
For every potential investor in Acco, whether a beginner or expert, Acco Brands' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acco Brands' price trends.Acco Brands Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acco Brands stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acco Brands could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acco Brands by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Acco Brands Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acco Brands stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acco Brands shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acco Brands stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Acco Brands entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 16131.94 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.125 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 4.04 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 4.05 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.075 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.09 |
Acco Brands Risk Indicators
The analysis of Acco Brands' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acco Brands' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.95 | |||
| Variance | 3.82 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Acco Brands
The number of cover stories for Acco Brands depends on current market conditions and Acco Brands' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acco Brands is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acco Brands' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Acco Brands Short Properties
Acco Brands' future price predictability will typically decrease when Acco Brands' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acco Brands often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acco Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acco Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 95.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 74.1 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acco Brands to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Acco Stock, please use our How to Invest in Acco Brands guide.You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Will Commercial Services & Supplies sector continue expanding? Could Acco diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Acco Brands. If investors know Acco will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Acco Brands data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.56) | Dividend Share 0.3 | Earnings Share 0.42 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.09) |
Understanding Acco Brands requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Acco's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Acco Brands' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Acco Brands' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Acco Brands' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Acco Brands represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Acco Brands' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.