Lb Foster Stock Price Prediction
| FSTR Stock | USD 29.16 0.68 2.28% |
Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.88) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.49 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.135 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.765 | Wall Street Target Price 29 |
Using LB Foster hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of LB Foster from the perspective of LB Foster response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards LB Foster using LB Foster's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FSTR using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of LB Foster's stock price.
LB Foster Short Interest
An investor who is long LB Foster may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about LB Foster and may potentially protect profits, hedge LB Foster with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 24.1832 | Short Percent 0.0234 | Short Ratio 6.57 | Shares Short Prior Month 168.8 K | 50 Day MA 27.5464 |
LB Foster Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to LB Foster's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FSTR. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FSTR can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around LB Foster. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of LB Foster's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about LB Foster.
LB Foster Implied Volatility | 1.12 |
LB Foster's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of LB Foster stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if LB Foster's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that LB Foster stock will not fluctuate a lot when LB Foster's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in LB Foster to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FSTR because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
LB Foster after-hype prediction price | USD 29.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FSTR contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that LB Foster will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.07% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With LB Foster trading at USD 29.16, that is roughly USD 0.0204 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating LB Foster's daily price movement you should consider acquiring LB Foster options at the current volatility level of 1.12%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out LB Foster Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of LB Foster's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
LB Foster After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of LB Foster at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in LB Foster or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of LB Foster, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
LB Foster Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting LB Foster's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on LB Foster's historical news coverage. LB Foster's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 27.62 and 32.02, respectively. We have considered LB Foster's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
LB Foster is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of LB Foster is based on 3 months time horizon.
LB Foster Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as LB Foster is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading LB Foster backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with LB Foster, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.21 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
29.16 | 29.82 | 0.07 |
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LB Foster Hype Timeline
LB Foster is currently traded for 29.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. FSTR is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 29.82. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on LB Foster is about 1872.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 29.18. About 79.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.76. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. LB Foster has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.13. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of September 2016. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out LB Foster Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.LB Foster Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to LB Foster's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict LB Foster's future price movements. Getting to know how LB Foster's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how LB Foster may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PKOH | Park Ohio Holdings | 1.16 | 9 per month | 2.35 | 0.06 | 4.77 | (3.60) | 14.74 | |
| NL | NL Industries | (0.18) | 7 per month | 2.39 | 0.03 | 5.51 | (4.82) | 20.34 | |
| QUAD | Quad Graphics | 0.05 | 9 per month | 3.20 | 0.04 | 3.33 | (4.72) | 14.67 | |
| RLGT | Radiant Logistics | 0.07 | 10 per month | 1.56 | 0.03 | 3.34 | (2.50) | 8.55 | |
| CIX | CompX International | (0.31) | 8 per month | 2.02 | (0.01) | 3.06 | (2.51) | 19.01 | |
| BNC | CEA Industries | (0.11) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 9.58 | (9.22) | 35.96 | |
| OFLX | Omega Flex | 0.43 | 8 per month | 1.64 | 0.07 | 3.87 | (2.79) | 11.55 | |
| CVEO | Civeo Corp | 0.24 | 5 per month | 1.68 | 0.08 | 2.75 | (1.82) | 14.66 | |
| ACCO | Acco Brands | 0.01 | 43 per month | 2.05 | 0.02 | 3.25 | (3.17) | 9.71 | |
| GASS | StealthGas | (0.18) | 10 per month | 0.93 | 0.13 | 2.68 | (1.91) | 8.25 |
LB Foster Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FSTR price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FSTR using various technical indicators. When you analyze FSTR charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About LB Foster Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of LB Foster stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as LB Foster, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of LB Foster based on analysis of LB Foster hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to LB Foster's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to LB Foster's related companies. | 2025 | 2026 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 1.46 | 0.88 | Dividend Yield | 0.0102 | 0.008808 |
Pair Trading with LB Foster
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if LB Foster position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in LB Foster will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with FSTR Stock
| 0.72 | 600765 | AVIC Heavy Machinery | PairCorr |
| 0.71 | CR | Crane Company | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | IR | Ingersoll Rand | PairCorr |
| 0.64 | PH | Parker Hannifin Earnings Call This Week | PairCorr |
Moving against FSTR Stock
The ability to find closely correlated positions to LB Foster could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace LB Foster when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back LB Foster - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling LB Foster to buy it.
The correlation of LB Foster is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as LB Foster moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if LB Foster moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for LB Foster can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Additional Tools for FSTR Stock Analysis
When running LB Foster's price analysis, check to measure LB Foster's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy LB Foster is operating at the current time. Most of LB Foster's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of LB Foster's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move LB Foster's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of LB Foster to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.