ProFrac Holding Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

ACDC Stock  USD 4.43  0.05  1.14%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ProFrac Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.60. ProFrac Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ProFrac Holding stock prices and determine the direction of ProFrac Holding Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ProFrac Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength index (RSI) of ProFrac Holding's share price is at 59. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ProFrac Holding, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 59

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ProFrac Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ProFrac Holding Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting ProFrac Holding's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
(0.45)
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.67)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(1.30)
Wall Street Target Price
3.9
Using ProFrac Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ProFrac Holding Corp from the perspective of ProFrac Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards ProFrac Holding using ProFrac Holding's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ProFrac using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of ProFrac Holding's stock price.

ProFrac Holding Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in ProFrac Holding's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards ProFrac. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of ProFrac Holding stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
5.2908
Short Percent
0.1339
Short Ratio
3.23
Shares Short Prior Month
3.6 M
50 Day MA
4.0232

ProFrac Holding Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to ProFrac Holding's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in ProFrac. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding ProFrac can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around ProFrac Holding Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of ProFrac Holding's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about ProFrac Holding.

ProFrac Holding Implied Volatility

    
  1.54  
ProFrac Holding's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of ProFrac Holding Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if ProFrac Holding's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that ProFrac Holding stock will not fluctuate a lot when ProFrac Holding's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ProFrac Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.60.

ProFrac Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.44  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProFrac Holding to cross-verify your projections.
At present, ProFrac Holding's Asset Turnover is projected to slightly decrease based on the last few years of reporting. . As of January 18, 2026, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 121.8 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (40.1 M).

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 ProFrac Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast ProFrac Holding's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in ProFrac Holding's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for ProFrac Holding stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current ProFrac Holding's open interest, investors have to compare it to ProFrac Holding's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of ProFrac Holding is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ProFrac. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

ProFrac Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ProFrac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ProFrac using various technical indicators. When you analyze ProFrac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

ProFrac Holding Cash Forecast

Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the ProFrac Holding's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2020-03-31
Previous Quarter
26 M
Current Value
58 M
Quarterly Volatility
22.8 M
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for ProFrac Holding is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ProFrac Holding Corp value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ProFrac Holding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 19th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ProFrac Holding Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 5.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.29, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 17.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ProFrac Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ProFrac Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ProFrac Holding Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest ProFrac HoldingProFrac Holding Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

ProFrac Holding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ProFrac Holding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ProFrac Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 11.46, respectively. We have considered ProFrac Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.43
5.32
Expected Value
11.46
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ProFrac Holding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ProFrac Holding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.9226
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2886
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0694
SAESum of the absolute errors17.6035
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ProFrac Holding Corp. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ProFrac Holding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ProFrac Holding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProFrac Holding Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ProFrac Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.224.4410.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.193.809.94
Details
6 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.553.904.33
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ProFrac Holding

For every potential investor in ProFrac, whether a beginner or expert, ProFrac Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ProFrac Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ProFrac. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ProFrac Holding's price trends.

ProFrac Holding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ProFrac Holding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ProFrac Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ProFrac Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ProFrac Holding Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ProFrac Holding's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ProFrac Holding's current price.

ProFrac Holding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ProFrac Holding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ProFrac Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ProFrac Holding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify ProFrac Holding Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ProFrac Holding Risk Indicators

The analysis of ProFrac Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ProFrac Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting profrac stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether ProFrac Holding Corp offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ProFrac Holding's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Profrac Holding Corp Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Profrac Holding Corp Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProFrac Holding to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Oil & Gas Equipment & Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of ProFrac Holding. If investors know ProFrac will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about ProFrac Holding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.99)
Earnings Share
(2.08)
Revenue Per Share
12.037
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.30)
Return On Assets
(0.03)
The market value of ProFrac Holding Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProFrac that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProFrac Holding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProFrac Holding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProFrac Holding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProFrac Holding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProFrac Holding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProFrac Holding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProFrac Holding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.