Accel Entertainment Stock Forward View - 8 Period Moving Average
| ACEL Stock | USD 11.37 -1.10 -8.82% |
Accel Entertainment's 8 Period Moving Average forecast is computed from observed closing prices over the selected horizon. The accuracy statistics below distinguish a well-fitted model from one that is smoothing over meaningful price movement. The 8 Period Moving Average model projects Accel Entertainment at 12.13 for the next trading day, above the most recent closing price. The 8 Period Moving Average output reflects statistical model results and is provided for reference purposes.
8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 8th of May
Over a 90-day horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average model forecasts Accel Entertainment at 12.13 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.32 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.03 , and sum of absolute errors of 17.10 .This represents a tight forecast with good short-term tracking of Accel Entertainment's price movement. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.
Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Accel Entertainment | Accel Entertainment Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Forecasted Value
This forecast for Accel Entertainment frames the expected trading range using downside and upside bounds rather than a single point target. The projected band runs from roughly 9.01 on the downside to about 15.25 on the upside. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.
Model Predictive Factors
The table below summarizes the 8 Period Moving Average model's error metrics for Accel Entertainment stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 101.8234 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0691 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3226 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0276 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 17.0987 |
Other Forecasting Options for Accel Entertainment
Analyzing Accel Entertainment's price movement through moving averages at different time horizons reveals whether short-term momentum aligns with the longer-term trend. Touches of the upper or lower band in Accel Entertainment's chart signal overbought or oversold conditions.Accel Entertainment Related Equities
These firms work in a similar space as Accel Entertainment within the Consumer Discretionary space and serve as useful points for comparison. Peer review on balance sheet metrics shows how Accel Entertainment's capital structure stacks up against similar firms. Sector-wide trends across this peer group split company-level factors from broader forces. Tracking Accel Entertainment's results against these peers over time helps spot rising trends early.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Accel Entertainment Market Strength Events
For investors tracking Accel Entertainment, market strength indicators offer quantitative evaluation of stock behavior. When Rate of Change diverges from price direction, it often signals weakening momentum before a visible reversal in Accel Entertainment.
Accel Entertainment Risk Indicators
Analyzing Accel Entertainment's basic risk indicators provides a structured view of the risk-return trade-off for accel stock. Expected shortfall estimates the average loss in the worst-case tail scenarios, going beyond what standard deviation alone captures for Accel Entertainment.
| Mean Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.65 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.12 | |||
| Variance | 9.74 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.65 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.04 | |||
| Expected Short fall | -1.73 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Accel Entertainment Short Properties
Short-interest data for Accel Entertainment reveals whether bearish conviction in the market is gaining traction. When applied, these measures clarify when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 86.37 million | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 296.57 million |