Accel Entertainment Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ACEL Stock | USD 11.53 0.02 0.17% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Accel Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 11.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.71. Accel Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Accel Entertainment's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Accel Entertainment's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Accel Entertainment fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength indicator of Accel Entertainment's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.673 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.2272 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9148 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.8733 | Wall Street Target Price 14.8 |
Using Accel Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Accel Entertainment from the perspective of Accel Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Accel Entertainment using Accel Entertainment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Accel using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Accel Entertainment's stock price.
Accel Entertainment Short Interest
An investor who is long Accel Entertainment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Accel Entertainment and may potentially protect profits, hedge Accel Entertainment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.094 | Short Percent 0.0274 | Short Ratio 3.46 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.5 M | 50 Day MA 10.5798 |
Accel Entertainment Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Accel Entertainment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Accel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Accel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Accel Entertainment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Accel Entertainment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Accel Entertainment.
Accel Entertainment Implied Volatility | 1.3 |
Accel Entertainment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Accel Entertainment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Accel Entertainment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Accel Entertainment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Accel Entertainment's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Accel Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 11.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.71. Accel Entertainment after-hype prediction price | USD 11.44 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Accel Entertainment to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Accel Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Accel Entertainment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Accel Entertainment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Accel Entertainment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Accel Entertainment's open interest, investors have to compare it to Accel Entertainment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Accel Entertainment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Accel. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Accel Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Accel price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Accel using various technical indicators. When you analyze Accel charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Accel Entertainment Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 9th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Accel Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 11.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.71.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Accel Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Accel Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Accel Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Accel Entertainment | Accel Entertainment Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Accel Entertainment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Accel Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Accel Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.98 and 13.08, respectively. We have considered Accel Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Accel Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Accel Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.4659 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0221 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1264 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.012 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.71 |
Predictive Modules for Accel Entertainment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accel Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Accel Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Accel Entertainment
For every potential investor in Accel, whether a beginner or expert, Accel Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Accel Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Accel. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Accel Entertainment's price trends.Accel Entertainment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Accel Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Accel Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Accel Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Accel Entertainment Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Accel Entertainment's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Accel Entertainment's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Accel Entertainment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Accel Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Accel Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Accel Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Accel Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 15022.17 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.06) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 11.48 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 11.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.045 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) |
Accel Entertainment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Accel Entertainment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Accel Entertainment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting accel stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Variance | 2.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.3 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Accel Entertainment to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Accel Stock please use our How to buy in Accel Stock guide.You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Accel Entertainment. If investors know Accel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Accel Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.673 | Earnings Share 0.5 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.091 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Accel Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Accel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Accel Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Accel Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Accel Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Accel Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Accel Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Accel Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Accel Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.