AC Immune Stock Forward View
| ACIU Stock | USD 3.11 0.03 0.96% |
ACIU Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the rsi of AC Immune's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.17) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.69) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.57) | Wall Street Target Price 9.1306 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.96) |
Using AC Immune hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AC Immune from the perspective of AC Immune response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AC Immune using AC Immune's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ACIU using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AC Immune's stock price.
AC Immune Implied Volatility | 1.93 |
AC Immune's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AC Immune stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AC Immune's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AC Immune stock will not fluctuate a lot when AC Immune's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of AC Immune on the next trading day is expected to be 2.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.07. AC Immune after-hype prediction price | USD 3.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AC Immune to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 ACIU Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AC Immune's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AC Immune's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AC Immune stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AC Immune's open interest, investors have to compare it to AC Immune's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AC Immune is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ACIU. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
AC Immune Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ACIU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ACIU using various technical indicators. When you analyze ACIU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the AC Immune's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2014-12-31 | Previous Quarter 25.7 M | Current Value 27.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 64.1 M |
AC Immune Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of AC Immune on the next trading day is expected to be 2.97 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ACIU Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AC Immune's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AC Immune Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AC Immune | AC Immune Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
AC Immune Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AC Immune's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AC Immune's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.03 and 7.70, respectively. We have considered AC Immune's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AC Immune stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AC Immune stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.9931 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0995 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0314 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.0698 |
Predictive Modules for AC Immune
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AC Immune. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AC Immune After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AC Immune at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AC Immune or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AC Immune, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AC Immune Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AC Immune's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AC Immune's historical news coverage. AC Immune's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.16 and 7.87, respectively. We have considered AC Immune's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AC Immune is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AC Immune is based on 3 months time horizon.
AC Immune Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AC Immune is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AC Immune backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AC Immune, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 4.73 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.11 | 3.14 | 0.00 |
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AC Immune Hype Timeline
AC Immune is presently traded for 3.11. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. ACIU is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on AC Immune is about 983.37%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.12. About 38.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of AC Immune was presently reported as 0.8. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.93. AC Immune had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AC Immune to cross-verify your projections.AC Immune Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AC Immune's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AC Immune's future price movements. Getting to know how AC Immune's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AC Immune may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALDX | Aldeyra | 0.01 | 7 per month | 4.28 | 0.03 | 8.64 | (8.84) | 42.93 | |
| CLLS | Cellectis SA | 0.07 | 8 per month | 4.50 | 0.03 | 9.24 | (7.69) | 29.31 | |
| ANRO | Alto Neuroscience | 0.95 | 5 per month | 5.70 | 0.07 | 7.87 | (8.77) | 30.37 | |
| SLN | Silence Therapeutics PLC | 0.16 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 6.88 | (5.89) | 23.80 | |
| AMRN | Amarin PLC | (0.69) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.89 | (3.95) | 21.26 | |
| CTNM | Contineum Therapeutics Class | 0.08 | 9 per month | 3.98 | 0.11 | 7.99 | (5.55) | 23.16 | |
| LYEL | Lyell Immunopharma | 3.58 | 6 per month | 4.45 | 0.1 | 12.12 | (7.92) | 31.14 | |
| MREO | Mereo BioPharma Group | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 16.33 | (9.52) | 101.95 | |
| ANNX | Annexon | 0.43 | 7 per month | 3.36 | 0.17 | 11.30 | (6.79) | 35.10 | |
| DRTS | Alpha Tau Medical | 0.28 | 8 per month | 3.74 | 0.17 | 10.48 | (7.29) | 29.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for AC Immune
For every potential investor in ACIU, whether a beginner or expert, AC Immune's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ACIU Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ACIU. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AC Immune's price trends.AC Immune Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AC Immune stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AC Immune could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AC Immune by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AC Immune Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AC Immune stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AC Immune shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AC Immune stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AC Immune entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12622.9 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.14) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.08 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.09 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.015 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) |
AC Immune Risk Indicators
The analysis of AC Immune's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AC Immune's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aciu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.59 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.67 | |||
| Variance | 21.8 | |||
| Downside Variance | 23.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 21.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AC Immune
The number of cover stories for AC Immune depends on current market conditions and AC Immune's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AC Immune is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AC Immune's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AC Immune Short Properties
AC Immune's future price predictability will typically decrease when AC Immune's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AC Immune often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AC Immune's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AC Immune's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 99.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 165.5 M |
Additional Tools for ACIU Stock Analysis
When running AC Immune's price analysis, check to measure AC Immune's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AC Immune is operating at the current time. Most of AC Immune's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AC Immune's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AC Immune's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AC Immune to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.