AC Immune Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| ACIU Stock | USD 3.51 0.12 3.31% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AC Immune on the next trading day is expected to be 3.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.62. ACIU Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The RSI of AC Immune's stock price is slightly above 61. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling ACIU, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.17) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.69) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.61) | Wall Street Target Price 8.954 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.96) |
Using AC Immune hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AC Immune from the perspective of AC Immune response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AC Immune using AC Immune's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards ACIU using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AC Immune's stock price.
AC Immune Implied Volatility | 3.16 |
AC Immune's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AC Immune stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AC Immune's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AC Immune stock will not fluctuate a lot when AC Immune's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AC Immune on the next trading day is expected to be 3.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.62. AC Immune after-hype prediction price | USD 3.84 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AC Immune to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 ACIU Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AC Immune's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AC Immune's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AC Immune stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AC Immune's open interest, investors have to compare it to AC Immune's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AC Immune is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in ACIU. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
AC Immune Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ACIU price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ACIU using various technical indicators. When you analyze ACIU charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AC Immune Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 19th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of AC Immune on the next trading day is expected to be 3.51 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.62.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ACIU Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AC Immune's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AC Immune Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AC Immune | AC Immune Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
AC Immune Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AC Immune's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AC Immune's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 8.90, respectively. We have considered AC Immune's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AC Immune stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AC Immune stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.7339 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.014 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.127 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0397 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.62 |
Predictive Modules for AC Immune
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AC Immune. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for AC Immune
For every potential investor in ACIU, whether a beginner or expert, AC Immune's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ACIU Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ACIU. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AC Immune's price trends.AC Immune Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AC Immune stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AC Immune could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AC Immune by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AC Immune Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AC Immune's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AC Immune's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AC Immune Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AC Immune stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AC Immune shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AC Immune stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AC Immune entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AC Immune Risk Indicators
The analysis of AC Immune's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AC Immune's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aciu stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.92 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 4.69 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.3 | |||
| Variance | 28.1 | |||
| Downside Variance | 25.46 | |||
| Semi Variance | 22.03 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for ACIU Stock Analysis
When running AC Immune's price analysis, check to measure AC Immune's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AC Immune is operating at the current time. Most of AC Immune's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AC Immune's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AC Immune's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AC Immune to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.