Acres Commercial Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| ACR Stock | USD 19.15 0.37 1.90% |
Acres Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, the RSI of Acres Commercial's share price is approaching 37. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Acres Commercial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 37
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Acres Commercial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Acres Commercial Realty from the perspective of Acres Commercial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Acres Commercial Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 19.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37 and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.03. Acres Commercial after-hype prediction price | USD 19.55 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acres Commercial to cross-verify your projections. Acres Commercial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Acres price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Acres using various technical indicators. When you analyze Acres charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Acres Commercial Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Acres Commercial Realty on the next trading day is expected to be 19.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.37, mean absolute percentage error of 0.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 22.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Acres Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Acres Commercial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Acres Commercial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Acres Commercial | Acres Commercial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Acres Commercial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Acres Commercial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Acres Commercial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.14 and 21.16, respectively. We have considered Acres Commercial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Acres Commercial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Acres Commercial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.0444 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0637 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3734 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0175 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 22.03 |
Predictive Modules for Acres Commercial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Acres Commercial Realty. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Acres Commercial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Acres Commercial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Acres Commercial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Acres Commercial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Acres Commercial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Acres Commercial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Acres Commercial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Acres Commercial's historical news coverage. Acres Commercial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.54 and 21.56, respectively. We have considered Acres Commercial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Acres Commercial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Acres Commercial Realty is based on 3 months time horizon.
Acres Commercial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Acres Commercial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Acres Commercial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Acres Commercial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
19.15 | 19.55 | 0.15 |
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Acres Commercial Hype Timeline
On the 1st of February Acres Commercial Realty is traded for 19.15. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Acres is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 19.55 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.15%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Acres Commercial is about 18272.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.15. The company reported the last year's revenue of 83.49 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 28.7 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 31.7 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Acres Commercial to cross-verify your projections.Acres Commercial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Acres Commercial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Acres Commercial's future price movements. Getting to know how Acres Commercial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Acres Commercial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SEVN | Seven Hills Realty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.91 | (3.21) | 8.39 | |
| GPMT | Granite Point Mortgage | (0.04) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.69 | (3.52) | 15.62 | |
| FSP | Franklin Street Properties | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 4.76 | (4.95) | 12.99 | |
| STRW | Strawberry Fields REIT | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.72 | 0.09 | 2.85 | (2.43) | 9.86 | |
| MDV | Modiv Inc | 0.04 | 4 per month | 1.03 | 0.06 | 2.40 | (2.17) | 6.99 | |
| CHMI | Cherry Hill Mortgage | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.53 | 0.10 | 3.52 | (2.89) | 9.35 | |
| ONL | Orion Office Reit | (0.09) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.90 | (3.92) | 24.81 | |
| BHR | Braemar Hotel Resorts | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.05 | 0.04 | 4.83 | (3.83) | 12.09 | |
| LFT | Lument Finance Trust | (0.05) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 6.92 | (6.33) | 19.19 | |
| JFB | JFB Construction Holdings | 0.04 | 9 per month | 5.10 | 0.14 | 12.98 | (8.30) | 29.28 |
Other Forecasting Options for Acres Commercial
For every potential investor in Acres, whether a beginner or expert, Acres Commercial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Acres Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Acres. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Acres Commercial's price trends.Acres Commercial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Acres Commercial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Acres Commercial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Acres Commercial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Acres Commercial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Acres Commercial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Acres Commercial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Acres Commercial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Acres Commercial Realty entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Acres Commercial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Acres Commercial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Acres Commercial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting acres stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.01 | |||
| Variance | 4.06 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Acres Commercial
The number of cover stories for Acres Commercial depends on current market conditions and Acres Commercial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Acres Commercial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Acres Commercial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Acres Commercial Short Properties
Acres Commercial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Acres Commercial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Acres Commercial Realty often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Acres Commercial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Acres Commercial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 56.7 M |
Additional Tools for Acres Stock Analysis
When running Acres Commercial's price analysis, check to measure Acres Commercial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Acres Commercial is operating at the current time. Most of Acres Commercial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Acres Commercial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Acres Commercial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Acres Commercial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.