Aegon Funding Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| AEFC Stock | USD 20.16 0.09 0.45% |
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Aegon Funding on the next trading day is expected to be 19.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.08. Aegon Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Aegon Funding stock prices and determine the direction of Aegon Funding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aegon Funding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The value of RSI of Aegon Funding's share price is at 55. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aegon Funding, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aegon Funding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aegon Funding from the perspective of Aegon Funding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Aegon Funding on the next trading day is expected to be 19.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.08. Aegon Funding after-hype prediction price | USD 0.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aegon Funding to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Aegon Stock refer to our How to Trade Aegon Stock guide.Aegon Funding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aegon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aegon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aegon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aegon Funding Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Aegon Funding on the next trading day is expected to be 19.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.13, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aegon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aegon Funding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aegon Funding Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aegon Funding | Aegon Funding Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Aegon Funding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aegon Funding's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aegon Funding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.40 and 20.42, respectively. We have considered Aegon Funding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aegon Funding stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aegon Funding stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2676 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1304 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0065 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.0823 |
Predictive Modules for Aegon Funding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aegon Funding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aegon Funding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aegon Funding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aegon Funding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aegon Funding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aegon Funding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aegon Funding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aegon Funding's historical news coverage. Aegon Funding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.50, respectively. We have considered Aegon Funding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aegon Funding is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aegon Funding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aegon Funding Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aegon Funding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aegon Funding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aegon Funding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.51 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
20.16 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
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Aegon Funding Hype Timeline
Aegon Funding is presently traded for 20.16. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aegon is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aegon Funding is about 177.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.16. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aegon Funding to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Aegon Stock refer to our How to Trade Aegon Stock guide.Aegon Funding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aegon Funding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aegon Funding's future price movements. Getting to know how Aegon Funding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aegon Funding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BOLL | Alliance Sports Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| VRTS | Virtus Investment Partners | (2.19) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 2.94 | (3.38) | 8.72 | |
| TWO-P-C | Two Harbors Investments | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.38 | (0.07) | 0.76 | (0.57) | 4.49 | |
| BKN | BlackRock Investment Quality | 0.02 | 8 per month | 0.29 | (0.21) | 0.72 | (0.54) | 1.96 | |
| SEIC | SEI Investments | (0.10) | 8 per month | 1.10 | 0.01 | 2.01 | (1.49) | 7.41 | |
| EPYFF | ePlay Digital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MITP | AG Mortgage Investment | (0.01) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.34) | 0.32 | (0.20) | 1.00 | |
| ICL | ICL Israel Chemicals | (0.02) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.07 | (3.62) | 21.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aegon Funding
For every potential investor in Aegon, whether a beginner or expert, Aegon Funding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aegon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aegon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aegon Funding's price trends.Aegon Funding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aegon Funding stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aegon Funding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aegon Funding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aegon Funding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aegon Funding stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aegon Funding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aegon Funding stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aegon Funding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Aegon Funding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aegon Funding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aegon Funding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aegon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.4049 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.5301 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5042 | |||
| Variance | 0.2542 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.3284 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.281 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aegon Funding
The number of cover stories for Aegon Funding depends on current market conditions and Aegon Funding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aegon Funding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aegon Funding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aegon Funding to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Aegon Stock refer to our How to Trade Aegon Stock guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aegon Funding. If investors know Aegon will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aegon Funding listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Aegon Funding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aegon that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aegon Funding's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aegon Funding's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aegon Funding's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aegon Funding's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aegon Funding's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aegon Funding is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aegon Funding's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.