Forafric Global Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| AFRI Stock | USD 10.04 0.13 1.28% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Forafric Global PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 9.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.10. Forafric Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Forafric Global's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Forafric Global's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.45) |
Using Forafric Global hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Forafric Global PLC from the perspective of Forafric Global response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Forafric Global PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 9.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.10. Forafric Global after-hype prediction price | USD 9.98 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Forafric Global to cross-verify your projections. Forafric Global Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Forafric price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Forafric using various technical indicators. When you analyze Forafric charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forafric Global Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Forafric Global PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 9.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.10.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Forafric Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Forafric Global's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Forafric Global Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Forafric Global | Forafric Global Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Forafric Global Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Forafric Global's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Forafric Global's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.33 and 11.93, respectively. We have considered Forafric Global's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Forafric Global stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Forafric Global stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.0414 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.182 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0181 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.1004 |
Predictive Modules for Forafric Global
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Forafric Global PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Forafric Global After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Forafric Global at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Forafric Global or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Forafric Global, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Forafric Global Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Forafric Global's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Forafric Global's historical news coverage. Forafric Global's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.66 and 12.30, respectively. We have considered Forafric Global's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Forafric Global is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Forafric Global PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Forafric Global Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Forafric Global is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Forafric Global backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Forafric Global, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.30 | 0.19 | 0.31 | 4 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.04 | 9.98 | 1.87 |
|
Forafric Global Hype Timeline
Forafric Global PLC is presently traded for 10.04. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.31. Forafric is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 9.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.87%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.25%. The volatility of related hype on Forafric Global is about 184.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.35. About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.78. Forafric Global PLC had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:1 split on the 10th of June 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Forafric Global to cross-verify your projections.Forafric Global Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Forafric Global's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Forafric Global's future price movements. Getting to know how Forafric Global's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Forafric Global may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALCO | Alico Inc | 0.50 | 7 per month | 1.50 | 0.08 | 3.49 | (2.53) | 7.74 | |
| LMNR | Limoneira Co | (0.94) | 7 per month | 2.08 | (0.04) | 2.89 | (3.01) | 10.20 | |
| ABVE | Above Food Ingredients | (0.19) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 14.07 | (14.98) | 62.38 | |
| SKIN | Beauty Health Co | 0.11 | 9 per month | 3.67 | 0.03 | 6.94 | (5.92) | 19.17 | |
| TWG | Top Wealth Group | 12.50 | 9 per month | 11.15 | 0.08 | 8.89 | (11.54) | 338.96 | |
| PTNM | Pitanium | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BRCC | BRC Inc | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 5.15 | (6.20) | 20.30 | |
| SLSN | Solesence Common Stock | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 6.76 | (7.42) | 27.67 | |
| CHSCL | CHS Inc CL | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.33) | 0.35 | (0.28) | 0.99 | |
| NATR | Natures Sunshine Products | 0.59 | 7 per month | 1.62 | 0.18 | 6.32 | (3.66) | 35.13 |
Other Forecasting Options for Forafric Global
For every potential investor in Forafric, whether a beginner or expert, Forafric Global's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Forafric Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Forafric. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Forafric Global's price trends.Forafric Global Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Forafric Global stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Forafric Global could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Forafric Global by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Forafric Global Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Forafric Global stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Forafric Global shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Forafric Global stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Forafric Global PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 2051.41 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.13) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 9.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 9.88 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.17 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.13) |
Forafric Global Risk Indicators
The analysis of Forafric Global's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Forafric Global's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting forafric stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Variance | 6.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.95 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Forafric Global
The number of cover stories for Forafric Global depends on current market conditions and Forafric Global's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Forafric Global is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Forafric Global's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Forafric Global Short Properties
Forafric Global's future price predictability will typically decrease when Forafric Global's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Forafric Global PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Forafric Global's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Forafric Global's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 12.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Forafric Global to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Forafric Global. If investors know Forafric will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Forafric Global listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.78) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.45) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
The market value of Forafric Global PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Forafric that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Forafric Global's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Forafric Global's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Forafric Global's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Forafric Global's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Forafric Global's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Forafric Global is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Forafric Global's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.