AGM Group Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| AGMH Stock | USD 1.48 0.16 9.76% |
AGM Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of AGM Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 6th of February 2026 the rsi of AGM Group's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 4.307 |
Using AGM Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AGM Group Holdings from the perspective of AGM Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AGM Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.47. AGM Group after-hype prediction price | USD 1.41 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AGM Group to cross-verify your projections. AGM Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AGM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AGM using various technical indicators. When you analyze AGM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AGM Group Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AGM Group Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 1.48 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.47.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AGM Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AGM Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AGM Group Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AGM Group | AGM Group Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
AGM Group Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AGM Group's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AGM Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.06, respectively. We have considered AGM Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AGM Group stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AGM Group stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.1655 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0466 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0927 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.041 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.47 |
Predictive Modules for AGM Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AGM Group Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AGM Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AGM Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AGM Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AGM Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AGM Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AGM Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AGM Group's historical news coverage. AGM Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.07 and 5.90, respectively. We have considered AGM Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AGM Group is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AGM Group Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
AGM Group Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AGM Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AGM Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AGM Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.20 | 4.58 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 6 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.48 | 1.41 | 1.40 |
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AGM Group Hype Timeline
AGM Group Holdings is presently traded for 1.48. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. AGM is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.41. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -1.4%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -1.2%. The volatility of related hype on AGM Group is about 19083.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.51. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.1. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AGM Group Holdings recorded earning per share (EPS) of 32.59. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:50 split on the 3rd of June 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AGM Group to cross-verify your projections.AGM Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AGM Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AGM Group's future price movements. Getting to know how AGM Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AGM Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ORKT | Orangekloud Technology Class | 0.09 | 2 per month | 10.24 | 0.05 | 10.69 | (15.66) | 189.93 | |
| BNZI | Banzai International | 0.06 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 14.29 | (13.33) | 48.98 | |
| VS | Versus Systems | 0.10 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 3.97 | (7.83) | 21.78 | |
| LGCL | Lucas GC Limited | (0.06) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 10.50 | (9.26) | 31.37 | |
| RVYL | Ryvyl Inc | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 15.50 | (10.91) | 34.18 | |
| JTAI | JetAI Inc | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 11.11 | (20.00) | 63.19 | |
| FTFT | Future Fintech Group | 0.27 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.38) | 7.48 | (13.41) | 26.43 | |
| GITS | Global Interactive Technologies | (0.02) | 9 per month | 7.68 | 0.12 | 15.29 | (15.33) | 142.07 | |
| SCKT | Socket Mobile | 0.05 | 8 per month | 3.17 | 0.07 | 5.00 | (6.14) | 22.49 | |
| SGN | Signing Day Sports | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 20.41 | (18.52) | 75.32 |
Other Forecasting Options for AGM Group
For every potential investor in AGM, whether a beginner or expert, AGM Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AGM Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AGM. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AGM Group's price trends.AGM Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AGM Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AGM Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AGM Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AGM Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AGM Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AGM Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AGM Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AGM Group Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5103.33 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.07) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.9 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.46 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.16) |
AGM Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of AGM Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AGM Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting agm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.2 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.44 | |||
| Variance | 19.72 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AGM Group
The number of cover stories for AGM Group depends on current market conditions and AGM Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AGM Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AGM Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AGM Group Short Properties
AGM Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when AGM Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AGM Group Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AGM Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AGM Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 485.1 K | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AGM Group to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is there potential for Financial Exchanges & Data market expansion? Will AGM introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AGM Group. If investors know AGM will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about AGM Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Earnings Share 32.59 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 4.307 | Return On Assets |
AGM Group Holdings's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on AGM's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate AGM Group's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Since AGM Group's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
Understanding that AGM Group's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether AGM Group represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. However, AGM Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.