Agm Group Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| AGMH Stock | USD 1.81 0.08 4.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.03) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.56) |
Using AGM Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AGM Group Holdings from the perspective of AGM Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AGM Group to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AGM because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AGM Group after-hype prediction price | USD 1.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AGM |
AGM Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AGM Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AGM Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AGM Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AGM Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AGM Group's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AGM Group's historical news coverage. AGM Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 7.43, respectively. We have considered AGM Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AGM Group is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AGM Group Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
AGM Group Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AGM Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AGM Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AGM Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.84 | 5.49 | 0.21 | 0.11 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.81 | 1.94 | 12.14 |
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AGM Group Hype Timeline
AGM Group Holdings is presently traded for 1.81. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. AGM is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 1.94 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 12.14%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.84%. The volatility of related hype on AGM Group is about 4392.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.92. AGM Group Holdings currently holds 9.58 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.11, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. AGM Group Holdings has a current ratio of 1.36, which is within standard range for the sector. Note, when we think about AGM Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out AGM Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AGM Group Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AGM Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AGM Group's future price movements. Getting to know how AGM Group's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AGM Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | 0.06 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.47 | (3.37) | 11.25 | |
| KTCC | Key Tronic | 0.03 | 7 per month | 1.63 | 0.12 | 3.01 | (3.04) | 14.47 | |
| INVE | Identiv | 0.10 | 8 per month | 1.83 | 0.03 | 5.12 | (3.58) | 14.13 | |
| STRC | STRC Old | 1.78 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 12.89 | (9.77) | 54.79 | |
| ALOT | AstroNova | (0.1) | 6 per month | 2.26 | (0.03) | 4.73 | (4.52) | 10.39 | |
| QMCO | Quantum | (0.38) | 9 per month | 7.16 | 0.12 | 16.33 | (9.76) | 51.59 | |
| UAVS | Ageagle Aerial Systems | (0.50) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 32.14 | (21.05) | 141.35 | |
| MKFG | Markforged Holding Corp | 0.01 | 10 per month | 2.47 | 0.1 | 9.64 | (7.73) | 78.65 |
AGM Group Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AGM price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AGM using various technical indicators. When you analyze AGM charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About AGM Group Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AGM Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AGM Group Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AGM Group based on analysis of AGM Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AGM Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AGM Group's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Graham Number | 2.08 | 3.66 | 2.35 | 2.47 | Receivables Turnover | 12.05 | 2.57 | 10.76 | 9.02 |
Story Coverage note for AGM Group
The number of cover stories for AGM Group depends on current market conditions and AGM Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AGM Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AGM Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AGM Group Short Properties
AGM Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when AGM Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AGM Group Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AGM Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AGM Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 M |
Complementary Tools for AGM Stock analysis
When running AGM Group's price analysis, check to measure AGM Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AGM Group is operating at the current time. Most of AGM Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AGM Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AGM Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AGM Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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