Adecoagro Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| AGRO Stock | USD 8.80 0.17 1.90% |
Adecoagro Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Adecoagro's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Adecoagro's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Adecoagro fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Adecoagro's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Adecoagro, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1542 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.2174 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.3641 | Wall Street Target Price 10.25 |
Using Adecoagro hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Adecoagro SA from the perspective of Adecoagro response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Adecoagro using Adecoagro's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Adecoagro using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Adecoagro's stock price.
Adecoagro Short Interest
An investor who is long Adecoagro may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Adecoagro and may potentially protect profits, hedge Adecoagro with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.662 | Short Percent 0.014 | Short Ratio 1.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.7 M | 50 Day MA 8.0684 |
Adecoagro Relative Strength Index
Adecoagro SA Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Adecoagro's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Adecoagro. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Adecoagro can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Adecoagro SA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Adecoagro's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Adecoagro.
Adecoagro Implied Volatility | 0.91 |
Adecoagro's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Adecoagro SA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Adecoagro's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Adecoagro stock will not fluctuate a lot when Adecoagro's options are near their expiration.
Adecoagro after-hype prediction price | USD 8.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Adecoagro contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Adecoagro SA will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0569% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Adecoagro trading at USD 8.8, that is roughly USD 0.005005 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Adecoagro's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Adecoagro SA options at the current volatility level of 0.91%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Adecoagro Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Adecoagro's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Adecoagro's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Adecoagro stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Adecoagro's open interest, investors have to compare it to Adecoagro's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Adecoagro is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Adecoagro. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Adecoagro Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Adecoagro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Adecoagro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Adecoagro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 11345.11 | 21498.89 |
| Check Adecoagro Volatility | Backtest Adecoagro | Information Ratio |
Adecoagro Trading Date Momentum
| On January 29 2026 Adecoagro SA was traded for 8.80 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 9.18 and the lowest listed price was 8.74 . The trading volume for the day was 448.5 K. The trading history from January 29, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 3.41% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Adecoagro to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Adecoagro
For every potential investor in Adecoagro, whether a beginner or expert, Adecoagro's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Adecoagro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Adecoagro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Adecoagro's price trends.Adecoagro Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Adecoagro stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Adecoagro could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Adecoagro by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Adecoagro Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Adecoagro stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Adecoagro shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Adecoagro stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Adecoagro SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 21498.89 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.39) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.91 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.24) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.17) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.25 |
Adecoagro Risk Indicators
The analysis of Adecoagro's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Adecoagro's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting adecoagro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.15 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.38 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.73 | |||
| Variance | 7.48 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.73 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.65 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.39) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Adecoagro
The number of cover stories for Adecoagro depends on current market conditions and Adecoagro's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Adecoagro is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Adecoagro's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Adecoagro Short Properties
Adecoagro's future price predictability will typically decrease when Adecoagro's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Adecoagro SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Adecoagro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Adecoagro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 103.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 211.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Adecoagro to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Will Packaged Foods & Meats sector continue expanding? Could Adecoagro diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adecoagro. If investors know Adecoagro will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Adecoagro data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.66) | Dividend Share 0.35 | Earnings Share 0.23 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.35) |
Understanding Adecoagro SA requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Adecoagro's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Adecoagro's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Adecoagro's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Adecoagro's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Adecoagro represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Adecoagro's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.