Air Industries Stock Forward View
| AIRI Stock | USD 3.39 0.06 1.80% |
Air Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Air Industries' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 7th of February 2026 the relative strength indicator of Air Industries' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.61) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.35) | Wall Street Target Price 5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.22) |
Using Air Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Air Industries Group from the perspective of Air Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Air Industries Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.28. Air Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 3.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Air Industries to cross-verify your projections. Air Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Air price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air using various technical indicators. When you analyze Air charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Air Industries Cash Forecast
Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Air Industries' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
Cash | First Reported 1999-12-31 | Previous Quarter 507 K | Current Value 126 M | Quarterly Volatility 12.9 M |
Air Industries Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Air Industries Group on the next trading day is expected to be 3.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.07, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.28.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Air Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Air Industries' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Air Industries Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Air Industries | Air Industries Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Air Industries Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Air Industries' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Air Industries' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.05 and 6.59, respectively. We have considered Air Industries' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Air Industries stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Air Industries stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.2418 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0691 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0221 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4.2817 |
Predictive Modules for Air Industries
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Air Industries Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Air Industries After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Air Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Air Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Air Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Air Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Air Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Air Industries' historical news coverage. Air Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 6.67, respectively. We have considered Air Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Air Industries is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Air Industries Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Air Industries Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Air Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Air Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 3.27 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.39 | 3.40 | 0.29 |
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Air Industries Hype Timeline
Air Industries Group is presently traded for 3.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Air is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 3.4 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 0.29%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Air Industries is about 11275.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.38. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 55.11 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.8 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Air Industries to cross-verify your projections.Air Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Air Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Air Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Air Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Air Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NCEW | New Century Logistics | 0.56 | 6 per month | 6.01 | 0.13 | 17.35 | (9.04) | 40.32 | |
| MNTS | Momentus | (1.11) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 17.86 | (17.01) | 70.67 | |
| JYD | Jayud Global Logistics | (0.09) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 9.60 | (12.12) | 28.60 | |
| ILAG | Intelligent Living Application | 0.46 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 12.55 | (13.98) | 69.73 | |
| VRME | VerifyMe | (0.01) | 10 per month | 4.61 | 0.04 | 12.24 | (8.15) | 68.37 | |
| HYFM | Hydrofarm Holdings Group | (0.07) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 12.26 | (9.50) | 47.42 | |
| LSH | Lakeside Holding Limited | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 11.76 | (12.90) | 58.71 | |
| KITT | Nauticus Robotics | (0.07) | 8 per month | 9.46 | 0.02 | 15.58 | (14.95) | 141.67 | |
| UUU | Universal Security Instruments | 0.07 | 8 per month | 6.93 | 0.01 | 9.75 | (9.97) | 42.44 | |
| EHGO | Eshallgo Class A | 0.00 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 9.09 | (8.33) | 34.40 |
Other Forecasting Options for Air Industries
For every potential investor in Air, whether a beginner or expert, Air Industries' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Air Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Air. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Air Industries' price trends.Air Industries Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Air Industries stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Air Industries could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Air Industries by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Air Industries Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Air Industries stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Air Industries shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Air Industries stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Air Industries Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 3838.06 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4615 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 3.34 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 3.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.085 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.06 |
Air Industries Risk Indicators
The analysis of Air Industries' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Air Industries' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting air stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.26 | |||
| Variance | 10.66 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.11 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.57) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Air Industries
The number of cover stories for Air Industries depends on current market conditions and Air Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Air Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Air Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Air Industries Short Properties
Air Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Air Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Air Industries Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Air Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 753 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Air Industries to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Equity Search module to search for actively traded equities including funds and ETFs from over 30 global markets.
Is there potential for Aerospace & Defense market expansion? Will Air introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Air Industries. If investors know Air will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Air Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.53) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.18) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Air Industries Group requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Air's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Air Industries' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Air Industries' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Air Industries' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Air Industries represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Air Industries' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.