Air Industries Group Stock Price Prediction
| AIRI Stock | USD 4.55 0.20 4.60% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
53
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.08 | Wall Street Target Price 10 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.02) | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.028 |
Using Air Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Air Industries Group from the perspective of Air Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Air Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Air because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Air Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 4.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Air |
Air Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Air Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Air Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Air Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Air Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Air Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Air Industries' historical news coverage. Air Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 10.36, respectively. We have considered Air Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Air Industries is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Air Industries Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Air Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Air Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Air Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.16 | 5.76 | 0.05 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
4.55 | 4.60 | 1.10 |
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Air Industries Hype Timeline
Air Industries Group is presently traded for 4.55. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Air is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 4.6 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is forecasted to be 1.1%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Air Industries is about 5400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 4.53. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 51.52 M. Net Loss for the year was (2.13 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 7.45 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Air Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Air Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Air Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Air Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Air Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Air Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SIF | SIFCO Industries | (0.02) | 4 per month | 3.70 | 0.02 | 5.70 | (5.22) | 28.31 | |
| CVU | CPI Aerostructures | (0.20) | 2 per month | 2.72 | 0.12 | 5.54 | (3.51) | 17.36 | |
| VSEC | VSE Corporation | (2.48) | 8 per month | 2.10 | 0.10 | 2.95 | (3.45) | 21.00 | |
| NPK | National Presto Industries | (1.62) | 3 per month | 1.37 | (0.01) | 2.43 | (2.44) | 8.03 | |
| ISSC | Innovative Solutions and | 0.04 | 7 per month | 1.53 | 0.03 | 3.28 | (3.31) | 9.31 | |
| TATT | Tat Techno | 0.02 | 3 per month | 2.52 | 0.13 | 6.97 | (4.75) | 24.15 | |
| BRSI | Ballistic Recovery Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| AZ | A2Z Smart Technologies | 0.33 | 9 per month | 3.86 | 0.29 | 15.58 | (7.28) | 44.37 | |
| AIR | AAR Corp | 0.83 | 9 per month | 1.91 | 0.01 | 2.64 | (3.52) | 14.62 | |
| DCO | Ducommun Incorporated | 1.24 | 9 per month | 1.53 | (0.04) | 2.90 | (2.30) | 8.32 | |
| KAMN | Kaman | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.21 | 0 | 5.37 | (3.75) | 14.48 | |
| ATRO | Astronics | 0.58 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.07 | (6.69) | 22.57 |
Air Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Air price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air using various technical indicators. When you analyze Air charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Air Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Air Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Air Industries Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air Industries based on analysis of Air Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Air Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Air Industries's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | PTB Ratio | 0.7 | 0.67 | Dividend Yield | 0.066 | 0.0331 |
Story Coverage note for Air Industries
The number of cover stories for Air Industries depends on current market conditions and Air Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Air Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Air Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Air Industries Short Properties
Air Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Air Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Air Industries Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Air Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 346 K |
Complementary Tools for Air Stock analysis
When running Air Industries' price analysis, check to measure Air Industries' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air Industries is operating at the current time. Most of Air Industries' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air Industries' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air Industries' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air Industries to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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