Amdocs Stock Price Prediction
| DOX Stock | USD 85.67 0.47 0.55% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
71
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.11) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.71 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.44 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.03 | Wall Street Target Price 100.2922 |
Using Amdocs hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amdocs from the perspective of Amdocs response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Amdocs to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Amdocs because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Amdocs after-hype prediction price | USD 85.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Amdocs |
Amdocs After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amdocs at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amdocs or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amdocs, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amdocs Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amdocs' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amdocs' historical news coverage. Amdocs' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 84.59 and 86.85, respectively. We have considered Amdocs' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amdocs is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amdocs is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amdocs Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amdocs is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amdocs backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amdocs, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.13 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
85.67 | 85.72 | 0.06 |
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Amdocs Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Amdocs is traded for 85.67. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Amdocs is estimated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 85.72 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 46.12%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.02%. The volatility of related hype on Amdocs is about 513.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 85.67. The company reported the last year's revenue of 4.89 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 542.96 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 1.62 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Amdocs Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Amdocs Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amdocs' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amdocs' future price movements. Getting to know how Amdocs' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amdocs may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| S | SentinelOne | (0.23) | 10 per month | 2.01 | 0.05 | 5.09 | (3.63) | 12.03 | |
| BB | BlackBerry | (0.04) | 11 per month | 2.43 | (0.05) | 4.42 | (3.83) | 13.53 | |
| GB | Global Blue Group | (0.04) | 9 per month | 3.34 | 0.09 | 4.72 | (4.64) | 23.79 | |
| JG | Aurora Mobile | 0.16 | 9 per month | 6.89 | 0.13 | 18.46 | (14.72) | 42.17 | |
| MQ | Marqeta | 0.04 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.36 | (3.72) | 51.58 | |
| NN | Nextnav Acquisition Corp | (1.26) | 9 per month | 3.02 | 0.34 | 7.35 | (7.27) | 18.29 | |
| ZS | Zscaler | 3.25 | 12 per month | 3.78 | 0.01 | 3.73 | (3.37) | 20.36 | |
| DOCN | DigitalOcean Holdings | 0.48 | 8 per month | 3.17 | 0.01 | 5.16 | (4.36) | 22.00 | |
| VERI | Veritone | (0.16) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 11.58 | (8.56) | 36.13 | |
| DTSS | Datasea | 0.00 | 6 per month | 7.14 | 0.07 | 11.40 | (9.20) | 61.49 |
Amdocs Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amdocs price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amdocs using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amdocs charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Amdocs Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Amdocs stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Amdocs, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amdocs based on analysis of Amdocs hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Amdocs's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Amdocs's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0193 | 0.0201 | 0.0231 | 0.0378 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.1 | 2.03 | 2.34 | 3.4 |
Story Coverage note for Amdocs
The number of cover stories for Amdocs depends on current market conditions and Amdocs' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amdocs is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amdocs' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Amdocs Short Properties
Amdocs' future price predictability will typically decrease when Amdocs' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amdocs often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amdocs' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amdocs' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 118.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 742.5 M |
Additional Tools for Amdocs Stock Analysis
When running Amdocs' price analysis, check to measure Amdocs' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amdocs is operating at the current time. Most of Amdocs' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amdocs' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amdocs' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amdocs to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.