Allegro Microsystems Stock Forward View - Accumulation Distribution
| ALGM Stock | USD 41.83 0.98 2.29% |
Allegro Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Allegro Microsystems' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Allegro Microsystems' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Allegro Microsystems fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Allegro Microsystems' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.1622 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.5284 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.9415 | Wall Street Target Price 44.5833 |
Using Allegro Microsystems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Allegro Microsystems from the perspective of Allegro Microsystems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Allegro Microsystems using Allegro Microsystems' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Allegro using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Allegro Microsystems' stock price.
Allegro Microsystems Short Interest
An investor who is long Allegro Microsystems may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Allegro Microsystems and may potentially protect profits, hedge Allegro Microsystems with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 29.8663 | Short Percent 0.1263 | Short Ratio 4.42 | Shares Short Prior Month 11 M | 50 Day MA 31.4029 |
Allegro Relative Strength Index
Allegro Microsystems Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Allegro Microsystems' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Allegro. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Allegro can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Allegro Microsystems. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Allegro Microsystems' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Allegro Microsystems.
Allegro Microsystems Implied Volatility | 0.83 |
Allegro Microsystems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Allegro Microsystems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Allegro Microsystems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Allegro Microsystems stock will not fluctuate a lot when Allegro Microsystems' options are near their expiration.
Allegro Microsystems after-hype prediction price | USD 42.86 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Allegro Microsystems to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Allegro contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Allegro Microsystems will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0519% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Allegro Microsystems trading at USD 41.83, that is roughly USD 0.0217 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Allegro Microsystems' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Allegro Microsystems options at the current volatility level of 0.83%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Allegro Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Allegro Microsystems' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Allegro Microsystems' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Allegro Microsystems stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Allegro Microsystems' open interest, investors have to compare it to Allegro Microsystems' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Allegro Microsystems is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Allegro. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Allegro Microsystems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Allegro price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Allegro using various technical indicators. When you analyze Allegro charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 99293.37 | 0.0508 |
| Check Allegro Microsystems Volatility | Backtest Allegro Microsystems | Information Ratio |
Allegro Microsystems Trading Date Momentum
| On February 13 2026 Allegro Microsystems was traded for 41.83 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 43.86 and the lowest listed price was 41.63 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on February 13, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 2.56% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Allegro Microsystems to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Allegro Microsystems
For every potential investor in Allegro, whether a beginner or expert, Allegro Microsystems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Allegro Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Allegro. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Allegro Microsystems' price trends.Allegro Microsystems Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Allegro Microsystems stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Allegro Microsystems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Allegro Microsystems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Allegro Microsystems Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Allegro Microsystems stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Allegro Microsystems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Allegro Microsystems stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Allegro Microsystems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Allegro Microsystems Risk Indicators
The analysis of Allegro Microsystems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Allegro Microsystems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting allegro stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.38 | |||
| Variance | 11.42 | |||
| Downside Variance | 6.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Allegro Microsystems
The number of cover stories for Allegro Microsystems depends on current market conditions and Allegro Microsystems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Allegro Microsystems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Allegro Microsystems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Allegro Microsystems Short Properties
Allegro Microsystems' future price predictability will typically decrease when Allegro Microsystems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Allegro Microsystems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Allegro Microsystems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Allegro Microsystems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 187.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 121.3 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Allegro Microsystems to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Allegro Stock, please use our How to Invest in Allegro Microsystems guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Will Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment sector continue expanding? Could Allegro diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Allegro Microsystems. If investors know Allegro will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Allegro Microsystems data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.48) | Earnings Share (0.07) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.289 | Return On Assets |
Investors evaluate Allegro Microsystems using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Allegro Microsystems' intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Allegro Microsystems' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Understanding that Allegro Microsystems' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Allegro Microsystems represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. Conversely, Allegro Microsystems' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.