Alpha Investment Pink Sheet Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ALPC Stock  USD 20.00  0.00  0.00%   
Alpha Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Alpha Investment stock prices and determine the direction of Alpha Investment's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alpha Investment's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Alpha Investment's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Alpha Investment's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alpha Investment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Alpha Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alpha Investment from the perspective of Alpha Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alpha Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 20.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.

Alpha Investment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alpha Investment to cross-verify your projections.

Alpha Investment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alpha price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alpha using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alpha charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Alpha Investment - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Alpha Investment prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Alpha Investment price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Alpha Investment.

Alpha Investment Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Alpha Investment on the next trading day is expected to be 20.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alpha Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alpha Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alpha Investment Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Alpha Investment  Alpha Investment Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Alpha Investment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alpha Investment's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alpha Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.00 and 20.00, respectively. We have considered Alpha Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.00
20.00
Expected Value
20.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alpha Investment pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alpha Investment pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Alpha Investment observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Alpha Investment observations.

Predictive Modules for Alpha Investment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alpha Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
20.0020.0020.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.0020.0020.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.0020.0020.00
Details

Alpha Investment After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Alpha Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alpha Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Alpha Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Alpha Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Alpha Investment's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alpha Investment's historical news coverage. Alpha Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 20.00 and 20.00, respectively. We have considered Alpha Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.00
20.00
After-hype Price
20.00
Upside
Alpha Investment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alpha Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Alpha Investment Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alpha Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alpha Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alpha Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.00
20.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Alpha Investment Hype Timeline

Alpha Investment is presently traded for 20.00. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alpha is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alpha Investment is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.00. About 14.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.04. Alpha Investment had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alpha Investment to cross-verify your projections.

Alpha Investment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Alpha Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alpha Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Alpha Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alpha Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ATLCAtlanticus Holdings 0.12 23 per month 3.21  0.01  4.77 (5.57) 14.61 
NRDSNerdwallet 0.20 11 per month 2.20  0.05  4.66 (4.33) 19.33 
PRLPFPropel Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 3.42 (3.74) 16.53 
BBDCBarings BDC 0.01 11 per month 0.84  0.06  1.44 (1.34) 4.34 
GDOTGreen Dot(0.42)12 per month 0.00 (0.06) 3.78 (2.81) 10.17 
WRLDWorld Acceptance(1.00)9 per month 0.00 (0.12) 4.13 (7.05) 13.98 
IPFPFInternational Personal Finance 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PRAAPRA Group(6.28)17 per month 3.15  0.06  4.92 (4.91) 17.85 
ECNCFECN Capital Corp 0.00 0 per month 1.05  0.02  1.36 (1.53) 15.92 
EZPWEZCORP Inc 0.40 12 per month 1.86  0.06  3.30 (2.94) 8.84 

Other Forecasting Options for Alpha Investment

For every potential investor in Alpha, whether a beginner or expert, Alpha Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alpha Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alpha. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alpha Investment's price trends.

Alpha Investment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alpha Investment pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alpha Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alpha Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alpha Investment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alpha Investment pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alpha Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alpha Investment pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Alpha Investment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Alpha Investment

The number of cover stories for Alpha Investment depends on current market conditions and Alpha Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alpha Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alpha Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Alpha Investment Short Properties

Alpha Investment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alpha Investment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alpha Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alpha Investment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alpha Investment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding13.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments588.00

Other Information on Investing in Alpha Pink Sheet

Alpha Investment financial ratios help investors to determine whether Alpha Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Alpha with respect to the benefits of owning Alpha Investment security.