Nerdwallet Stock Price Prediction

NRDS Stock  USD 12.98  0.20  1.56%   
At this time, the relative strength indicator of Nerdwallet's share price is approaching 41. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nerdwallet, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 41

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nerdwallet's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nerdwallet and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nerdwallet's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nerdwallet, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nerdwallet's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
268.627
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.2698
EPS Estimate Current Year
1.2038
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.4809
Wall Street Target Price
16.1667
Using Nerdwallet hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nerdwallet from the perspective of Nerdwallet response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nerdwallet using Nerdwallet's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nerdwallet using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nerdwallet's stock price.

Nerdwallet Short Interest

An investor who is long Nerdwallet may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nerdwallet and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nerdwallet with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
11.4769
Short Percent
0.0673
Short Ratio
2.29
Shares Short Prior Month
2.2 M
50 Day MA
14.0754

Nerdwallet Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Nerdwallet's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nerdwallet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nerdwallet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nerdwallet. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nerdwallet's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nerdwallet.

Nerdwallet Implied Volatility

    
  1.06  
Nerdwallet's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nerdwallet stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nerdwallet's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nerdwallet stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nerdwallet's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nerdwallet to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nerdwallet because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nerdwallet after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.78  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nerdwallet contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nerdwallet will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0663% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Nerdwallet trading at USD 12.98, that is roughly USD 0.008599 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nerdwallet's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nerdwallet options at the current volatility level of 1.06%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Check out Nerdwallet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Nerdwallet Stock please use our How to Invest in Nerdwallet guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nerdwallet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.3013.2716.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
9.7012.6715.64
Details
7 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
14.7116.1717.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.370.370.37
Details

Nerdwallet After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nerdwallet at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nerdwallet or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nerdwallet, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nerdwallet Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nerdwallet's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nerdwallet's historical news coverage. Nerdwallet's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.81 and 15.75, respectively. We have considered Nerdwallet's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.98
12.78
After-hype Price
15.75
Upside
Nerdwallet is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nerdwallet is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nerdwallet Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nerdwallet is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nerdwallet backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nerdwallet, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.20 
2.98
  0.04 
  0.10 
11 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.98
12.78
0.00 
1,490  
Notes

Nerdwallet Hype Timeline

Nerdwallet is now traded for 12.98. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Nerdwallet is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.2%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nerdwallet is about 594.81%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.08. About 78.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Nerdwallet was now reported as 5.39. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Nerdwallet had 3:2 split on the February 9, 1987. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Nerdwallet Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Nerdwallet Stock please use our How to Invest in Nerdwallet guide.

Nerdwallet Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nerdwallet's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nerdwallet's future price movements. Getting to know how Nerdwallet's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nerdwallet may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
QDQudian Inc(0.08)7 per month 0.00 (0.17) 4.50 (6.58) 17.86 
ATLCAtlanticus Holdings 0.60 9 per month 3.39 (0.01) 4.77 (5.57) 14.61 
LXLexinfintech Holdings(0.1)9 per month 0.00 (0.15) 4.34 (8.84) 34.72 
BBDCBarings BDC 0.1 10 per month 0.84  0.04  1.44 (1.34) 4.34 
HFWAHeritage Financial 0.18 6 per month 1.54  0.08  4.71 (3.38) 12.70 
CPFCentral Pacific Financial 0.38 10 per month 1.73  0.05  2.86 (2.19) 9.76 
AMSFAMERISAFE 1.64 9 per month 0.00 (0.18) 1.47 (2.16) 6.71 
WRLDWorld Acceptance 4.60 8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.13 (7.05) 12.80 
MCBMetropolitan Bank Holding(2.25)6 per month 1.60  0.06  3.80 (2.90) 19.32 
UVEUniversal Insurance Holdings(0.06)9 per month 1.92  0.01  3.79 (3.08) 18.12 

Nerdwallet Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nerdwallet price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nerdwallet using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nerdwallet charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nerdwallet Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nerdwallet stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nerdwallet, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nerdwallet based on analysis of Nerdwallet hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nerdwallet's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nerdwallet's related companies.
 2023 2024 2025 2026 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding49.3257.8666.5463.35
PTB Ratio3.082.793.213.05

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Additional Tools for Nerdwallet Stock Analysis

When running Nerdwallet's price analysis, check to measure Nerdwallet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nerdwallet is operating at the current time. Most of Nerdwallet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nerdwallet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nerdwallet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nerdwallet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.