AMC Networks Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| AMCX Stock | USD 7.71 0.10 1.31% |
AMC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength momentum indicator of AMC Networks' share price is approaching 39. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AMC Networks, making its price go up or down. Momentum 39
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.822 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7237 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.0523 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.0408 | Wall Street Target Price 7 |
Using AMC Networks hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMC Networks from the perspective of AMC Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AMC Networks using AMC Networks' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AMC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AMC Networks' stock price.
AMC Networks Short Interest
An investor who is long AMC Networks may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about AMC Networks and may potentially protect profits, hedge AMC Networks with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.3863 | Short Percent 0.1625 | Short Ratio 10.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 5.1 M | 50 Day MA 8.8924 |
AMC Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AMC Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 7.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.65.AMC Networks Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to AMC Networks' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AMC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AMC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AMC Networks. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AMC Networks' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AMC Networks.
AMC Networks Implied Volatility | 1.19 |
AMC Networks' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AMC Networks stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AMC Networks' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AMC Networks stock will not fluctuate a lot when AMC Networks' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AMC Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 7.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.65. AMC Networks after-hype prediction price | USD 7.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AMC Networks to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AMC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AMC Networks will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0744% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With AMC Networks trading at USD 7.71, that is roughly USD 0.005734 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating AMC Networks' daily price movement you should consider acquiring AMC Networks options at the current volatility level of 1.19%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 AMC Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AMC Networks' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AMC Networks' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AMC Networks stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AMC Networks' open interest, investors have to compare it to AMC Networks' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AMC Networks is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in AMC. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
AMC Networks Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AMC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMC using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AMC Networks Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AMC Networks on the next trading day is expected to be 7.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.65.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AMC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AMC Networks' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AMC Networks Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AMC Networks | AMC Networks Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
AMC Networks Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AMC Networks' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AMC Networks' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 5.14 and 10.18, respectively. We have considered AMC Networks' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AMC Networks stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AMC Networks stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.5442 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0062 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1804 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0208 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.645 |
Predictive Modules for AMC Networks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AMC Networks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMC Networks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AMC Networks After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AMC Networks at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AMC Networks or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AMC Networks, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AMC Networks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AMC Networks' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AMC Networks' historical news coverage. AMC Networks' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 5.19 and 10.25, respectively. We have considered AMC Networks' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AMC Networks is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMC Networks is based on 3 months time horizon.
AMC Networks Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AMC Networks is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AMC Networks backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AMC Networks, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.52 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
7.71 | 7.72 | 0.00 |
|
AMC Networks Hype Timeline
AMC Networks is presently traded for 7.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. AMC is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on AMC Networks is about 10080.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.71. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.31. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMC Networks has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.76. The entity recorded a loss per share of 3.68. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AMC Networks to cross-verify your projections.AMC Networks Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AMC Networks' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AMC Networks' future price movements. Getting to know how AMC Networks' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AMC Networks may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AENT | Alliance Entertainment Holding | 0.02 | 8 per month | 3.27 | 0.08 | 8.65 | (5.13) | 18.92 | |
| IHRT | iHeartMedia Class A | 0.50 | 10 per month | 3.35 | (0) | 12.38 | (5.90) | 44.17 | |
| OOMA | Ooma Inc | (0.01) | 8 per month | 3.28 | 0.03 | 5.61 | (3.71) | 22.40 | |
| STRZ | Starz Entertainment LLC | (0.45) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.11 | (5.15) | 17.68 | |
| THRY | Thryv Holdings | (0.49) | 17 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 4.32 | (6.80) | 30.17 | |
| TTGT | TechTarget Common Stock | 0.17 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 5.93 | (5.21) | 15.02 | |
| ZH | Zhihu Inc ADR | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.10 | (4.82) | 21.72 | |
| ADV | Advantage Solutions | (0.49) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 7.06 | (6.82) | 22.81 | |
| GLTK | GlobalTech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 0.50 | (0.51) | 16.71 | |
| UPXI | Upexi Inc | 1.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 11.51 | (10.16) | 30.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for AMC Networks
For every potential investor in AMC, whether a beginner or expert, AMC Networks' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AMC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AMC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AMC Networks' price trends.AMC Networks Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AMC Networks stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AMC Networks could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AMC Networks by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AMC Networks Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AMC Networks stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AMC Networks shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AMC Networks stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AMC Networks entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AMC Networks Risk Indicators
The analysis of AMC Networks' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AMC Networks' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Variance | 6.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.83 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.26 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.24) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AMC Networks
The number of cover stories for AMC Networks depends on current market conditions and AMC Networks' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AMC Networks is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AMC Networks' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
AMC Networks Short Properties
AMC Networks' future price predictability will typically decrease when AMC Networks' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AMC Networks often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AMC Networks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMC Networks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 784.6 M |
Additional Tools for AMC Stock Analysis
When running AMC Networks' price analysis, check to measure AMC Networks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMC Networks is operating at the current time. Most of AMC Networks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMC Networks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMC Networks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMC Networks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.