Ametek Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| AME Stock | USD 209.14 3.83 1.87% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ametek Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 209.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 116.60. Ametek Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ametek stock prices and determine the direction of Ametek Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ametek's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Ametek's share price is above 70 at the present time. This suggests that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Ametek, making its price go up or down. Momentum 75
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.088 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.895 | EPS Estimate Current Year 7.362 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.9813 | Wall Street Target Price 223.1765 |
Using Ametek hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ametek Inc from the perspective of Ametek response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ametek using Ametek's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ametek using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ametek's stock price.
Ametek Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Ametek's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ametek. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ametek stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 183.4275 | Short Percent 0.0132 | Short Ratio 1.85 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.1 M | 50 Day MA 197.896 |
Ametek Inc Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ametek's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ametek. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ametek can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ametek Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ametek's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ametek.
Ametek Implied Volatility | 0.3 |
Ametek's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ametek Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ametek's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ametek stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ametek's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ametek Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 209.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 116.60. Ametek after-hype prediction price | USD 209.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ametek to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Ametek Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ametek's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ametek's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ametek stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ametek's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ametek's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ametek is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ametek. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ametek Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ametek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ametek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ametek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ametek Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ametek Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 209.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.94, mean absolute percentage error of 7.88, and the sum of the absolute errors of 116.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ametek Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ametek's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ametek Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ametek | Ametek Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ametek Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ametek's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ametek's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 207.68 and 210.60, respectively. We have considered Ametek's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ametek stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ametek stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.3367 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.4353 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.9433 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0099 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 116.6 |
Predictive Modules for Ametek
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ametek Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Ametek
For every potential investor in Ametek, whether a beginner or expert, Ametek's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ametek Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ametek. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ametek's price trends.Ametek Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ametek stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ametek could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ametek by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ametek Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ametek's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ametek's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ametek Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ametek stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ametek shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ametek stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ametek Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Ametek Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ametek's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ametek's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ametek stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7549 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Variance | 2.06 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.9341 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.5699 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.| JBL | Jabil Circuit | |
| MRK | Merck Company | |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ametek to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ametek. If investors know Ametek will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ametek listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.088 | Dividend Share 1.21 | Earnings Share 6.34 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.108 |
The market value of Ametek Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ametek that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ametek's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ametek's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ametek's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ametek's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ametek's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ametek is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ametek's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.