AGF American Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| AMGR Fund | 25.40 0.22 0.87% |
Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AGF American hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AGF American Growth from the perspective of AGF American response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
AGF American after-hype prediction price | CAD 25.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
AGF |
AGF American Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AGF price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AGF using various technical indicators. When you analyze AGF charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Predictive Modules for AGF American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AGF American Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AGF American Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
As far as predicting the price of AGF American at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AGF American or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Fund prices, such as prices of AGF American, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AGF American Fund Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Fund such as AGF American is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AGF American backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AGF American, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.45 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
25.40 | 25.40 | 0.00 |
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AGF American Hype Timeline
AGF American Growth is presently traded for 25.40on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. AGF is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on AGF American is about 2139.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 25.41. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any fund could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.AGF American Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AGF American's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AGF American's future price movements. Getting to know how AGF American's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AGF American may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMGR | AGF American Growth | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.96 | 0.04 | 3.07 | (1.74) | 4.81 | |
| 0P000077R7 | CDSPI Global Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.75 | (0.06) | 1.30 | (1.23) | 3.33 | |
| 0P0001KUBJ | Tangerine Equity Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.56 | (0.05) | 0.95 | (1.00) | 2.84 | |
| 0P0001GZLR | Fidelity Canadian Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | 0.08 | 1.42 | (1.74) | 4.66 | |
| 0P0000WJLC | IG Putnam Growth | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 1.50 | (1.85) | 5.42 | |
| FTHI | Fidelity Tactical High | 0.08 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.41 | (1.39) | 6.80 | |
| GLDE | Ninepoint Gold and | 0.53 | 6 per month | 1.32 | 0.23 | 3.81 | (2.92) | 7.70 | |
| 0P00007694 | Fidelity ClearPath 2045 | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.27 | 0.01 | 1.20 | (1.17) | 14.64 | |
| 0P000070OO | FRIQUE Balanced Portfolio | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.36 | (0.10) | 0.64 | (0.60) | 1.75 |
Other Forecasting Options for AGF American
For every potential investor in AGF, whether a beginner or expert, AGF American's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AGF Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AGF. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AGF American's price trends.AGF American Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AGF American fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AGF American could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AGF American by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AGF American Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AGF American fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AGF American shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AGF American fund market strength indicators, traders can identify AGF American Growth entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 25.4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 25.4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.11 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.22 |
AGF American Risk Indicators
The analysis of AGF American's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AGF American's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting agf fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9599 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Variance | 2.09 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.9214 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.55) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AGF American
The number of cover stories for AGF American depends on current market conditions and AGF American's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AGF American is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AGF American's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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