Amkor Technology Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| AMKR Stock | USD 50.39 0.68 1.37% |
Amkor Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Amkor Technology's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Amkor Technology's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Amkor Technology fundamentals over time.
As of today, The relative strength index (RSI) of Amkor Technology's share price is at 59. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Amkor Technology, making its price go up or down. Momentum 59
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.041 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4186 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.2612 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7218 | Wall Street Target Price 44.75 |
Using Amkor Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amkor Technology from the perspective of Amkor Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amkor Technology using Amkor Technology's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amkor using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amkor Technology's stock price.
Amkor Technology Short Interest
An investor who is long Amkor Technology may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Amkor Technology and may potentially protect profits, hedge Amkor Technology with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 28.1575 | Short Percent 0.0527 | Short Ratio 2.22 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.4 M | 50 Day MA 42.005 |
Amkor Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Amkor Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 51.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.06.Amkor Technology Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Amkor Technology's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Amkor. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Amkor can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Amkor Technology. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Amkor Technology's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Amkor Technology.
Amkor Technology Implied Volatility | 1.11 |
Amkor Technology's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amkor Technology stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amkor Technology's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amkor Technology stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amkor Technology's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Amkor Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 51.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.06. Amkor Technology after-hype prediction price | USD 49.71 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amkor Technology to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Amkor contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Amkor Technology will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0694% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Amkor Technology trading at USD 50.39, that is roughly USD 0.035 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Amkor Technology's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Amkor Technology options at the current volatility level of 1.11%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Amkor Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Amkor Technology's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Amkor Technology's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Amkor Technology stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Amkor Technology's open interest, investors have to compare it to Amkor Technology's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Amkor Technology is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Amkor. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Amkor Technology Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amkor price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amkor using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amkor charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amkor Technology Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Amkor Technology on the next trading day is expected to be 51.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.08, mean absolute percentage error of 12.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 188.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amkor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amkor Technology's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amkor Technology Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Amkor Technology | Amkor Technology Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Amkor Technology Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amkor Technology's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amkor Technology's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.32 and 56.58, respectively. We have considered Amkor Technology's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amkor Technology stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amkor Technology stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6177 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.083 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0775 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 188.0606 |
Predictive Modules for Amkor Technology
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amkor Technology. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Amkor Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amkor Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amkor Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amkor Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amkor Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amkor Technology's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amkor Technology's historical news coverage. Amkor Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 45.08 and 54.34, respectively. We have considered Amkor Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amkor Technology is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amkor Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amkor Technology Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amkor Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amkor Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amkor Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.82 | 4.63 | 2.61 | 0.73 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
50.39 | 49.71 | 0.00 |
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Amkor Technology Hype Timeline
Amkor Technology is presently traded for 50.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -2.61, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.73. Amkor is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 145.6%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.82%. %. The volatility of related hype on Amkor Technology is about 519.64%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.66. About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Amkor Technology was presently reported as 17.43. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.87. Amkor Technology last dividend was issued on the 3rd of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amkor Technology to cross-verify your projections.Amkor Technology Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amkor Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amkor Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Amkor Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amkor Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TSEM | Tower Semiconductor | 0.65 | 10 per month | 2.66 | 0.22 | 5.57 | (4.00) | 24.44 | |
| NVMI | Nova | (6.82) | 9 per month | 3.00 | 0.15 | 5.21 | (5.42) | 13.38 | |
| QRVO | Qorvo Inc | 0.87 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.47 | (3.02) | 13.27 | |
| SWKS | Skyworks Solutions | (0.65) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.88 | (3.83) | 15.56 | |
| OLED | Universal Display | (2.13) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.60 | (3.46) | 11.06 | |
| LSCC | Lattice Semiconductor | 0.38 | 10 per month | 2.77 | 0.08 | 5.21 | (3.82) | 17.21 | |
| ONTO | Onto Innovation | 1.23 | 9 per month | 2.49 | 0.20 | 5.53 | (4.35) | 10.98 | |
| RMBS | Rambus Inc | (4.69) | 12 per month | 4.17 | 0.06 | 7.77 | (7.58) | 21.96 | |
| DOX | Amdocs | 0.36 | 9 per month | 1.80 | (0.05) | 1.50 | (1.79) | 8.96 | |
| MKSI | MKS Instruments | 1.89 | 9 per month | 2.41 | 0.20 | 5.36 | (4.83) | 17.56 |
Other Forecasting Options for Amkor Technology
For every potential investor in Amkor, whether a beginner or expert, Amkor Technology's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amkor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amkor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amkor Technology's price trends.Amkor Technology Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amkor Technology stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amkor Technology could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amkor Technology by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amkor Technology Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amkor Technology stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amkor Technology shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amkor Technology stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amkor Technology entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amkor Technology Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amkor Technology's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amkor Technology's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amkor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.31 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.54 | |||
| Variance | 20.62 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.06 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.83 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Amkor Technology
The number of cover stories for Amkor Technology depends on current market conditions and Amkor Technology's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amkor Technology is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amkor Technology's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Amkor Technology Short Properties
Amkor Technology's future price predictability will typically decrease when Amkor Technology's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amkor Technology often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amkor Technology's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amkor Technology's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 247.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.6 B |
Additional Tools for Amkor Stock Analysis
When running Amkor Technology's price analysis, check to measure Amkor Technology's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amkor Technology is operating at the current time. Most of Amkor Technology's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amkor Technology's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amkor Technology's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amkor Technology to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.