American Tower Stock Forward View - Polynomial Regression
| AMT Stock | USD 181.34 3.83 2.16% |
American Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of RSI of American Tower's share price is at 55. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Tower, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
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Oversold | Overbought |
Using American Tower hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Tower Corp from the perspective of American Tower response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of American Tower Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 182.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 123.61. American Tower after-hype prediction price | USD 181.34 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Tower to cross-verify your projections. American Tower Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Tower Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of American Tower Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 182.77 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.03, mean absolute percentage error of 6.73, and the sum of the absolute errors of 123.61.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Tower's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Tower Stock Forecast Pattern
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American Tower Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting American Tower's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Tower's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 181.44 and 184.10, respectively. We have considered American Tower's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Tower stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Tower stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.0172 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0265 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0115 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 123.6141 |
Predictive Modules for American Tower
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Tower Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.American Tower After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of American Tower at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American Tower or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American Tower, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
American Tower Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting American Tower's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American Tower's historical news coverage. American Tower's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 180.01 and 182.67, respectively. We have considered American Tower's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
American Tower is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Tower Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
American Tower Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American Tower is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American Tower backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American Tower, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.33 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
181.34 | 181.34 | 0.00 |
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American Tower Hype Timeline
On the 29th of January American Tower Corp is traded for 181.34. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. American is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on American Tower is about 967.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 181.35. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 6.27. American Tower Corp last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Tower to cross-verify your projections.American Tower Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to American Tower's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American Tower's future price movements. Getting to know how American Tower's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American Tower may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EQIX | Equinix | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.13 | (2.06) | 4.88 | |
| PLD | Prologis | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.10 | 0.04 | 1.78 | (1.72) | 5.58 | |
| DLR | Digital Realty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.30 | (2.43) | 6.11 | |
| PSA | Public Storage | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | (0.03) | 2.27 | (1.90) | 6.57 | |
| SPG | Simon Property Group | 0.07 | 18 per month | 0.56 | 0.09 | 1.68 | (1.26) | 5.19 | |
| CCI | Crown Castle | 1.24 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.14 | (2.34) | 7.08 | |
| SBAC | SBA Communications Corp | (0.21) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.91 | (2.93) | 6.38 | |
| O | Realty Income | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.04 | 1.38 | (1.52) | 3.92 |
Other Forecasting Options for American Tower
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Tower's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Tower's price trends.American Tower Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Tower stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Tower could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Tower by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Tower Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Tower stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Tower shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Tower stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Tower Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 62708.66 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7614 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 179.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 180.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 3.88 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 3.83 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.05 |
American Tower Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Tower's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Tower's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.0 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.33 | |||
| Variance | 1.77 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.21 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.85 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.94) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for American Tower
The number of cover stories for American Tower depends on current market conditions and American Tower's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American Tower is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American Tower's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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American Tower Short Properties
American Tower's future price predictability will typically decrease when American Tower's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American Tower Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American Tower's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American Tower's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 468.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Additional Tools for American Stock Analysis
When running American Tower's price analysis, check to measure American Tower's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Tower is operating at the current time. Most of American Tower's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Tower's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Tower's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Tower to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.