Ampco Pittsburgh Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| AP Stock | USD 5.84 0.16 2.67% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ampco Pittsburgh on the next trading day is expected to be 5.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.78. Ampco Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Ampco Pittsburgh's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Ampco Pittsburgh's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Ampco Pittsburgh fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength momentum indicator of Ampco Pittsburgh's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4 | Wall Street Target Price 5 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.123 |
Using Ampco Pittsburgh hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ampco Pittsburgh from the perspective of Ampco Pittsburgh response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ampco Pittsburgh using Ampco Pittsburgh's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ampco using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ampco Pittsburgh's stock price.
Ampco Pittsburgh Implied Volatility | 1.63 |
Ampco Pittsburgh's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ampco Pittsburgh stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ampco Pittsburgh's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ampco Pittsburgh stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ampco Pittsburgh's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ampco Pittsburgh on the next trading day is expected to be 5.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.78. Ampco Pittsburgh after-hype prediction price | USD 6.06 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ampco Pittsburgh to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Ampco Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ampco Pittsburgh's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ampco Pittsburgh's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ampco Pittsburgh stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ampco Pittsburgh's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ampco Pittsburgh's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ampco Pittsburgh is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ampco. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ampco Pittsburgh Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ampco price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ampco using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ampco charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ampco Pittsburgh Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ampco Pittsburgh on the next trading day is expected to be 5.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.78.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ampco Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ampco Pittsburgh's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ampco Pittsburgh Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ampco Pittsburgh | Ampco Pittsburgh Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ampco Pittsburgh Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ampco Pittsburgh's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ampco Pittsburgh's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.13 and 11.78, respectively. We have considered Ampco Pittsburgh's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ampco Pittsburgh stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ampco Pittsburgh stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0252 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1658 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0449 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.781 |
Predictive Modules for Ampco Pittsburgh
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ampco Pittsburgh. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Ampco Pittsburgh After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ampco Pittsburgh at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ampco Pittsburgh or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ampco Pittsburgh, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ampco Pittsburgh Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ampco Pittsburgh's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ampco Pittsburgh's historical news coverage. Ampco Pittsburgh's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 11.89, respectively. We have considered Ampco Pittsburgh's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ampco Pittsburgh is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ampco Pittsburgh is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ampco Pittsburgh Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ampco Pittsburgh is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ampco Pittsburgh backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ampco Pittsburgh, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.71 | 5.83 | 0.22 | 0.04 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
5.84 | 6.06 | 3.77 |
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Ampco Pittsburgh Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Ampco Pittsburgh is listed for 5.84. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.22, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Ampco is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 6.06 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 3.77%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 1.71%. The volatility of related hype on Ampco Pittsburgh is about 22423.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.80. Ampco Pittsburgh reports 133.17 M of total liabilities with total debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.12, which is normal for its line of buisiness. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ampco Pittsburgh to cross-verify your projections.Ampco Pittsburgh Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ampco Pittsburgh's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ampco Pittsburgh's future price movements. Getting to know how Ampco Pittsburgh's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ampco Pittsburgh may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TPCS | TechPrecision Common | (0.25) | 5 per month | 3.21 | (0.01) | 6.62 | (5.35) | 16.72 | |
| CLIR | ClearSign Combustion | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 11.76 | (9.33) | 37.67 | |
| FLUX | Flux Power Holdings | (0.12) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 9.87 | (16.54) | 43.25 | |
| HTLM | HomesToLife | (0.26) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 7.34 | (9.35) | 26.61 | |
| IPWR | Ideal Power | (0.06) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 9.50 | (8.85) | 36.33 | |
| GPUS | Hyperscale Data | 0.01 | 12 per month | 6.76 | 0.02 | 25.00 | (11.76) | 62.50 | |
| SIF | SIFCO Industries | 0.35 | 34 per month | 3.56 | (0.03) | 5.96 | (5.38) | 19.66 | |
| ADSE | Ads Tec Energy | 0.06 | 8 per month | 2.28 | 0.08 | 5.43 | (3.64) | 17.85 | |
| BGSF | BG Staffing | (0.01) | 5 per month | 1.87 | 0.18 | 6.80 | (4.03) | 13.16 | |
| CSTE | Caesarstone | 0.05 | 9 per month | 4.55 | 0.13 | 10.29 | (7.48) | 38.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ampco Pittsburgh
For every potential investor in Ampco, whether a beginner or expert, Ampco Pittsburgh's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ampco Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ampco. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ampco Pittsburgh's price trends.Ampco Pittsburgh Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ampco Pittsburgh stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ampco Pittsburgh could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ampco Pittsburgh by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ampco Pittsburgh Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ampco Pittsburgh stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ampco Pittsburgh shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ampco Pittsburgh stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ampco Pittsburgh entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 5.84 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 5.84 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.08) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.16) |
Ampco Pittsburgh Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ampco Pittsburgh's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ampco Pittsburgh's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ampco stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.61 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.86 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.62 | |||
| Variance | 31.64 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.65) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ampco Pittsburgh
The number of cover stories for Ampco Pittsburgh depends on current market conditions and Ampco Pittsburgh's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ampco Pittsburgh is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ampco Pittsburgh's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ampco Pittsburgh Short Properties
Ampco Pittsburgh's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ampco Pittsburgh's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ampco Pittsburgh often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ampco Pittsburgh's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ampco Pittsburgh's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 19.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 15.4 M |
Additional Tools for Ampco Stock Analysis
When running Ampco Pittsburgh's price analysis, check to measure Ampco Pittsburgh's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ampco Pittsburgh is operating at the current time. Most of Ampco Pittsburgh's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ampco Pittsburgh's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ampco Pittsburgh's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ampco Pittsburgh to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.