Aptiv PLC Stock Forward View
| APTV Stock | USD 79.72 1.29 1.59% |
Aptiv Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Aptiv PLC's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.44) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.9057 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.4392 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.4841 | Wall Street Target Price 101.25 |
Using Aptiv PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aptiv PLC from the perspective of Aptiv PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aptiv PLC using Aptiv PLC's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aptiv using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aptiv PLC's stock price.
Aptiv PLC Short Interest
An investor who is long Aptiv PLC may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Aptiv PLC and may potentially protect profits, hedge Aptiv PLC with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 74.8714 | Short Percent 0.0413 | Short Ratio 3.42 | Shares Short Prior Month 6.4 M | 50 Day MA 78.6856 |
Aptiv Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aptiv PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 79.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.17.Aptiv PLC Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Aptiv PLC's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Aptiv. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Aptiv can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Aptiv PLC. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Aptiv PLC's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Aptiv PLC.
Aptiv PLC Implied Volatility | 0.44 |
Aptiv PLC's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aptiv PLC stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aptiv PLC's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aptiv PLC stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aptiv PLC's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aptiv PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 79.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.17. Aptiv PLC after-hype prediction price | USD 79.68 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aptiv PLC to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Aptiv contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Aptiv PLC will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0275% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Aptiv PLC trading at USD 79.72, that is roughly USD 0.0219 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Aptiv PLC's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Aptiv PLC options at the current volatility level of 0.44%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Aptiv Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Aptiv PLC's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Aptiv PLC's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Aptiv PLC stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Aptiv PLC's open interest, investors have to compare it to Aptiv PLC's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Aptiv PLC is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Aptiv. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Aptiv PLC Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aptiv price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aptiv using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aptiv charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Aptiv PLC's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2000-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.6 B | Current Value 1.9 B | Quarterly Volatility 979.3 M |
Aptiv PLC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 7th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aptiv PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 79.54 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.05, mean absolute percentage error of 7.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 127.17.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aptiv Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aptiv PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aptiv PLC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aptiv PLC | Aptiv PLC Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Aptiv PLC Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aptiv PLC's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aptiv PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 77.21 and 81.87, respectively. We have considered Aptiv PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aptiv PLC stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aptiv PLC stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.9071 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0511 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0259 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 127.1662 |
Predictive Modules for Aptiv PLC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aptiv PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aptiv PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aptiv PLC After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aptiv PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aptiv PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aptiv PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aptiv PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aptiv PLC's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aptiv PLC's historical news coverage. Aptiv PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 77.36 and 82.00, respectively. We have considered Aptiv PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aptiv PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aptiv PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aptiv PLC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aptiv PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aptiv PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aptiv PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 2.33 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 11 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
79.72 | 79.68 | 0.05 |
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Aptiv PLC Hype Timeline
Aptiv PLC is presently traded for 79.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Aptiv is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 79.68. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.05%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Aptiv PLC is about 3837.65%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 79.72. About 100.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aptiv PLC has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.95. The entity last dividend was issued on the 4th of February 2020. The firm had 1193:1000 split on the 5th of December 2017. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aptiv PLC to cross-verify your projections.Aptiv PLC Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aptiv PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aptiv PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Aptiv PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aptiv PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALSN | Allison Transmission Holdings | (1.14) | 7 per month | 0.86 | 0.29 | 3.31 | (2.09) | 7.29 | |
| LKQ | LKQ Corporation | 0.52 | 9 per month | 1.58 | 0.05 | 3.36 | (2.42) | 9.62 | |
| LEA | Lear Corporation | 0.37 | 12 per month | 1.28 | 0.17 | 3.79 | (2.89) | 8.69 | |
| MGA | Magna International | (1.24) | 10 per month | 1.23 | 0.14 | 3.79 | (2.63) | 9.62 | |
| GNTX | Gentex | 0.08 | 3 per month | 1.21 | 0.03 | 2.72 | (2.24) | 8.90 | |
| ADNT | Adient PLC | (0.27) | 10 per month | 3.84 | 0.04 | 5.22 | (5.12) | 21.07 | |
| ALV | Autoliv | (1.61) | 7 per month | 1.51 | 0.05 | 3.13 | (2.57) | 8.44 | |
| FOXF | Fox Factory Holding | (0.35) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.90 | (5.07) | 27.67 | |
| DAN | Dana Inc | 1.05 | 9 per month | 1.16 | 0.24 | 5.01 | (2.89) | 13.40 | |
| AXL | American Axle Manufacturing | (0.04) | 10 per month | 2.14 | 0.16 | 8.55 | (4.01) | 13.56 | |
| VC | Visteon Corp | (0.83) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.30 | (2.78) | 8.62 | |
| DORM | Dorman Products | 4.62 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.17 | (2.04) | 6.48 | |
| BWA | BorgWarner | (0.34) | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0.12 | 3.61 | (3.05) | 8.11 | |
| SRI | Stoneridge | 0.03 | 7 per month | 3.57 | 0.07 | 6.97 | (3.72) | 18.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aptiv PLC
For every potential investor in Aptiv, whether a beginner or expert, Aptiv PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aptiv Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aptiv. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aptiv PLC's price trends.Aptiv PLC Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aptiv PLC stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aptiv PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aptiv PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aptiv PLC Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aptiv PLC stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aptiv PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aptiv PLC stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aptiv PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 35373.74 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.68) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 80.47 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 80.22 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.39) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.29) |
Aptiv PLC Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aptiv PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aptiv PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aptiv stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.8 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.32 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.3 | |||
| Variance | 5.28 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.54 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.36 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.80) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aptiv PLC
The number of cover stories for Aptiv PLC depends on current market conditions and Aptiv PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aptiv PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aptiv PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Aptiv Stock Analysis
When running Aptiv PLC's price analysis, check to measure Aptiv PLC's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aptiv PLC is operating at the current time. Most of Aptiv PLC's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aptiv PLC's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aptiv PLC's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aptiv PLC to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.