Fox Factory Holding Stock Price Prediction
| FOXF Stock | USD 32.43 0.21 0.65% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
38
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.87) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.49 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.305 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9625 | Wall Street Target Price 40.125 |
Using Fox Factory hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Fox Factory Holding from the perspective of Fox Factory response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Fox Factory Holding Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Fox Factory's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fox. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fox can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fox Factory Holding. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Fox Factory's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Fox Factory.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Fox Factory to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Fox because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Fox Factory after-hype prediction price | USD 32.16 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Fox |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fox Factory's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Fox Factory After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Fox Factory at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Fox Factory or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Fox Factory, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Fox Factory Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Fox Factory's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Fox Factory's historical news coverage. Fox Factory's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 29.52 and 34.80, respectively. We have considered Fox Factory's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Fox Factory is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Fox Factory Holding is based on 3 months time horizon.
Fox Factory Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Fox Factory is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Fox Factory backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Fox Factory, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 2.65 | 0.24 | 0.56 | 8 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
32.43 | 32.16 | 0.83 |
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Fox Factory Hype Timeline
Fox Factory Holding is currently traded for 32.43. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.56. Fox is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 32.16. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.83%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.26%. The volatility of related hype on Fox Factory is about 122.57%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 31.87. About 100.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.13. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Fox Factory Holding has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.72. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Fox Factory Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Fox Factory Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Fox Factory's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Fox Factory's future price movements. Getting to know how Fox Factory's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Fox Factory may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DORM | Dorman Products | (4.39) | 12 per month | 0.91 | 0.13 | 3.10 | (2.03) | 14.67 | |
| MBUU | Malibu Boats | (1.67) | 7 per month | 1.93 | 0.10 | 4.07 | (3.49) | 11.17 | |
| IBP | Installed Building Products | (3.14) | 7 per month | 2.67 | (0.04) | 5.19 | (4.50) | 14.90 | |
| EXLS | ExlService Holdings | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.38 | 0.19 | 2.56 | (1.41) | 8.35 | |
| LCII | LCI Industries | (1.60) | 10 per month | 2.09 | (0) | 3.85 | (3.74) | 9.65 |
Fox Factory Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Fox price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Fox using various technical indicators. When you analyze Fox charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Fox Factory Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Fox Factory stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Fox Factory Holding, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Fox Factory based on analysis of Fox Factory hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Fox Factory's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Fox Factory's related companies. | 2015 | 2021 | 2022 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 43.45 | 39.91 | 42.64 | 35.7 | PTB Ratio | 4.02 | 7.99 | 2.34 | 7.65 |
Story Coverage note for Fox Factory
The number of cover stories for Fox Factory depends on current market conditions and Fox Factory's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Fox Factory is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Fox Factory's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Fox Factory Short Properties
Fox Factory's future price predictability will typically decrease when Fox Factory's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Fox Factory Holding often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Fox Factory's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fox Factory's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 83.6 M |
Complementary Tools for Fox Stock analysis
When running Fox Factory's price analysis, check to measure Fox Factory's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fox Factory is operating at the current time. Most of Fox Factory's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fox Factory's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fox Factory's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fox Factory to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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