Ares Capital Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| ARCC Stock | USD 20.35 0.43 2.07% |
Ares Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ares Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Ares Capital's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ares Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Ares Capital's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ares Capital, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.5034 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9923 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.9518 | Wall Street Target Price 22.6429 |
Using Ares Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ares Capital from the perspective of Ares Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Ares Capital using Ares Capital's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Ares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Ares Capital's stock price.
Ares Capital Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Ares Capital's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Ares. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Ares Capital stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 21.1836 | Short Percent 0.0244 | Short Ratio 3.64 | Shares Short Prior Month 19.9 M | 50 Day MA 20.4304 |
Ares Relative Strength Index
Ares Capital Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Ares Capital's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ares. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ares can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ares Capital. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ares Capital's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ares Capital.
Ares Capital Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Ares Capital's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Ares Capital stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Ares Capital's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Ares Capital stock will not fluctuate a lot when Ares Capital's options are near their expiration.
Ares Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 20.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ares Capital to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Ares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Ares Capital will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Ares Capital trading at USD 20.35, that is roughly USD 0.007504 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Ares Capital's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Ares Capital options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Ares Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Ares Capital's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Ares Capital's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Ares Capital stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Ares Capital's open interest, investors have to compare it to Ares Capital's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Ares Capital is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Ares. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Ares Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ares using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 40323.92 | 193015.0 |
| Check Ares Capital Volatility | Backtest Ares Capital | Information Ratio |
Ares Capital Trading Date Momentum
| On January 26 2026 Ares Capital was traded for 20.35 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 20.75 and the lowest listed price was 20.24 . The trading volume for the day was 7.9 M. The trading history from January 26, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.87% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Ares Capital to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Ares Capital
For every potential investor in Ares, whether a beginner or expert, Ares Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ares Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ares Capital's price trends.Ares Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ares Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ares Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ares Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ares Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ares Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ares Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ares Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ares Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 193015.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.84) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 20.49 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 20.45 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.36) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.43) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.03 |
Ares Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ares Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ares Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ares stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7446 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.9303 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Variance | 1.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.8655 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.79) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ares Capital
The number of cover stories for Ares Capital depends on current market conditions and Ares Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ares Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ares Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ares Capital Short Properties
Ares Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ares Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ares Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ares Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ares Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 624 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 635 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ares Capital to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ares Stock refer to our How to Trade Ares Stock guide.You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.
Is Asset Management & Custody Banks space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ares Capital. If investors know Ares will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ares Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.08) | Dividend Share 1.92 | Earnings Share 1.99 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.009 |
The market value of Ares Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ares Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ares Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ares Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ares Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ares Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ares Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ares Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.