Alexandria Real Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

ARE Stock  USD 53.27  1.09  2.09%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Alexandria Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 53.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 87.99. Alexandria Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Alexandria Real stock prices and determine the direction of Alexandria Real Estate's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Alexandria Real's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Alexandria Real's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Alexandria Real, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Alexandria Real's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Alexandria Real and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Alexandria Real's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alexandria Real Estate, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Alexandria Real's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
6.484
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.42
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.82)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.02)
Wall Street Target Price
58.1667
Using Alexandria Real hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alexandria Real Estate from the perspective of Alexandria Real response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Alexandria Real using Alexandria Real's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Alexandria using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Alexandria Real's stock price.

Alexandria Real Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Alexandria Real's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Alexandria. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Alexandria Real stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
71.3823
Short Percent
0.0545
Short Ratio
2.18
Shares Short Prior Month
5.6 M
50 Day MA
51.5282

Alexandria Real Estate Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Alexandria Real's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Alexandria. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Alexandria can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Alexandria Real Estate. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Alexandria Real's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Alexandria Real.

Alexandria Real Implied Volatility

    
  0.53  
Alexandria Real's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Alexandria Real Estate stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Alexandria Real's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Alexandria Real stock will not fluctuate a lot when Alexandria Real's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Alexandria Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 53.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 87.99.

Alexandria Real after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 53.35  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alexandria Real to cross-verify your projections.
At present, Alexandria Real's Fixed Asset Turnover is projected to drop based on the last few years of reporting. . The current year's Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to grow to about 207.8 M. The current year's Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to grow to about 373.8 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Alexandria Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Alexandria Real's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Alexandria Real's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Alexandria Real stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Alexandria Real's open interest, investors have to compare it to Alexandria Real's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Alexandria Real is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Alexandria. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Alexandria Real Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Alexandria price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alexandria using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alexandria charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Alexandria Real is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Alexandria Real Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Alexandria Real Estate on the next trading day is expected to be 53.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.49, mean absolute percentage error of 8.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 87.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Alexandria Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Alexandria Real's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Alexandria Real Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Alexandria RealAlexandria Real Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Alexandria Real Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Alexandria Real's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Alexandria Real's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.72 and 56.82, respectively. We have considered Alexandria Real's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
53.27
53.27
Expected Value
56.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Alexandria Real stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Alexandria Real stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.5198
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.5455
MADMean absolute deviation1.4914
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0276
SAESum of the absolute errors87.995
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Alexandria Real Estate price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Alexandria Real. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Alexandria Real

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Alexandria Real Estate. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.7953.3556.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
50.2953.8557.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
42.9148.0353.16
Details
13 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
52.9358.1764.57
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Alexandria Real

For every potential investor in Alexandria, whether a beginner or expert, Alexandria Real's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Alexandria Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Alexandria. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Alexandria Real's price trends.

Alexandria Real Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Alexandria Real stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Alexandria Real could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Alexandria Real by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Alexandria Real Estate Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Alexandria Real's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Alexandria Real's current price.

Alexandria Real Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Alexandria Real stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Alexandria Real shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Alexandria Real stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Alexandria Real Estate entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Alexandria Real Risk Indicators

The analysis of Alexandria Real's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Alexandria Real's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting alexandria stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Alexandria Real Estate is a strong investment it is important to analyze Alexandria Real's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Alexandria Real's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Alexandria Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Alexandria Real to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alexandria Real. If investors know Alexandria will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alexandria Real listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
6.484
Dividend Share
5.28
Earnings Share
(2.47)
Revenue Per Share
17.909
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.05)
The market value of Alexandria Real Estate is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alexandria that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alexandria Real's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alexandria Real's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alexandria Real's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alexandria Real's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alexandria Real's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alexandria Real is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alexandria Real's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.