Ark Restaurants Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ARKR Stock  USD 6.52  0.01  0.15%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ark Restaurants Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 6.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.40. Ark Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Ark Restaurants' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Ark Restaurants' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Ark Restaurants fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength indicator of Ark Restaurants' share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Ark Restaurants' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Ark Restaurants and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Ark Restaurants' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Ark Restaurants Corp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Ark Restaurants' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.31
Wall Street Target Price
17
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.14)
Using Ark Restaurants hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ark Restaurants Corp from the perspective of Ark Restaurants response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Ark Restaurants Corp Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Ark Restaurants' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Ark. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Ark can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Ark Restaurants Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Ark Restaurants' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Ark Restaurants.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Ark Restaurants Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 6.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.40.

Ark Restaurants after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.53  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ark Restaurants to cross-verify your projections.
As of 01/08/2026, Payables Turnover is likely to grow to 43.27, while Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 34.54. . As of 01/08/2026, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 8.8 M, while Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop slightly above 3.8 M.

Ark Restaurants Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Ark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Ark Restaurants price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Ark Restaurants Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Ark Restaurants Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 6.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ark Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ark Restaurants' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ark Restaurants Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ark RestaurantsArk Restaurants Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ark Restaurants Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ark Restaurants' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ark Restaurants' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.01 and 9.05, respectively. We have considered Ark Restaurants' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.52
6.53
Expected Value
9.05
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ark Restaurants stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ark Restaurants stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0676
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1704
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.025
SAESum of the absolute errors10.3956
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Ark Restaurants Corp historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Ark Restaurants

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ark Restaurants Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.016.539.05
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
6.388.9011.42
Details
0 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.4717.0018.87
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ark Restaurants

For every potential investor in Ark, whether a beginner or expert, Ark Restaurants' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ark Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ark. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ark Restaurants' price trends.

Ark Restaurants Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ark Restaurants stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ark Restaurants could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ark Restaurants by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ark Restaurants Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ark Restaurants' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ark Restaurants' current price.

Ark Restaurants Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ark Restaurants stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ark Restaurants shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ark Restaurants stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ark Restaurants Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ark Restaurants Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ark Restaurants' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ark Restaurants' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ark stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Ark Restaurants

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Ark Restaurants position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Ark Restaurants will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Ark Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Ark Restaurants could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Ark Restaurants when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Ark Restaurants - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Ark Restaurants Corp to buy it.
The correlation of Ark Restaurants is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Ark Restaurants moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Ark Restaurants Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Ark Restaurants can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Ark Stock Analysis

When running Ark Restaurants' price analysis, check to measure Ark Restaurants' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ark Restaurants is operating at the current time. Most of Ark Restaurants' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ark Restaurants' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ark Restaurants' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ark Restaurants to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.