Atkore International Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| ATKR Stock | USD 69.05 0.84 1.20% |
Atkore Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Atkore International's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Atkore International's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Atkore International fundamentals over time.
As of today the relative strength index (rsi) of Atkore International's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.62) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.0715 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.2343 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.9454 | Wall Street Target Price 70.4 |
Using Atkore International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atkore International Group from the perspective of Atkore International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Atkore International using Atkore International's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Atkore using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Atkore International's stock price.
Atkore International Short Interest
An investor who is long Atkore International may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Atkore International and may potentially protect profits, hedge Atkore International with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 66.0197 | Short Percent 0.0423 | Short Ratio 3.32 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.9 M | 50 Day MA 66.5414 |
Atkore Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Atkore International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 70.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 111.51.Atkore International Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Atkore International's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Atkore. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Atkore can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Atkore International Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Atkore International's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Atkore International.
Atkore International Implied Volatility | 0.55 |
Atkore International's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Atkore International Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Atkore International's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Atkore International stock will not fluctuate a lot when Atkore International's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Atkore International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 70.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80 and the sum of the absolute errors of 111.51. Atkore International after-hype prediction price | USD 69.05 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atkore International to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Atkore contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Atkore International Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0344% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Atkore International trading at USD 69.05, that is roughly USD 0.0237 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Atkore International's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Atkore International Group options at the current volatility level of 0.55%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Atkore Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Atkore International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Atkore International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Atkore International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Atkore International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Atkore International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Atkore International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Atkore. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Atkore International Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Atkore price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atkore using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atkore charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Atkore International Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Atkore International Group on the next trading day is expected to be 70.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.80, mean absolute percentage error of 4.68, and the sum of the absolute errors of 111.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atkore Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atkore International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Atkore International Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Atkore International | Atkore International Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Atkore International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Atkore International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atkore International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 67.67 and 72.87, respectively. We have considered Atkore International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atkore International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atkore International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 121.4911 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7986 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0273 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 111.5113 |
Predictive Modules for Atkore International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atkore International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Atkore International After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Atkore International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atkore International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atkore International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Atkore International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Atkore International's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atkore International's historical news coverage. Atkore International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 66.47 and 71.63, respectively. We have considered Atkore International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Atkore International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atkore International is based on 3 months time horizon.
Atkore International Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atkore International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atkore International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atkore International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.12 | 2.60 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
69.05 | 69.05 | 0.00 |
|
Atkore International Hype Timeline
Atkore International is presently traded for 69.05. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Atkore is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.12%. %. The volatility of related hype on Atkore International is about 37142.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.05. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Atkore International has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.39. The entity recorded a loss per share of 1.33. The firm last dividend was issued on the 17th of February 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atkore International to cross-verify your projections.Atkore International Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Atkore International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atkore International's future price movements. Getting to know how Atkore International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atkore International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENVX | Enovix Corp | (0.21) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.93 | (8.56) | 25.68 | |
| GEO | Geo Group | 0.32 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.14 | (3.33) | 14.08 | |
| HUBG | Hub Group | 0.44 | 9 per month | 0.82 | 0.30 | 4.32 | (1.90) | 7.44 | |
| EPAC | Enerpac Tool Group | 0.81 | 11 per month | 2.02 | (0.01) | 3.65 | (2.83) | 12.80 | |
| TRN | Trinity Industries | (0.55) | 9 per month | 1.37 | 0.06 | 2.93 | (2.66) | 13.36 | |
| TRTN-PC | Triton International Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.48 | (0.06) | 0.68 | (0.94) | 2.46 | |
| AMPX | Amprius Technologies | (0.23) | 9 per month | 5.65 | 0.06 | 11.63 | (8.39) | 29.24 | |
| REVG | Rev Group | (0.51) | 6 per month | 2.49 | 0.01 | 3.47 | (3.10) | 10.23 | |
| LUNR | Intuitive Machines | 0.81 | 5 per month | 6.15 | 0.10 | 11.76 | (8.74) | 47.22 | |
| RHI | Robert Half International | (0.95) | 7 per month | 1.89 | 0.09 | 4.89 | (2.98) | 35.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Atkore International
For every potential investor in Atkore, whether a beginner or expert, Atkore International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atkore Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atkore. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atkore International's price trends.Atkore International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atkore International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atkore International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atkore International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Atkore International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atkore International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atkore International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atkore International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atkore International Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 35744.82 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.15) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 70.53 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 70.03 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.90) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.84) |
Atkore International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Atkore International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atkore International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atkore stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Variance | 6.37 | |||
| Downside Variance | 7.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.41 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.82) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Atkore International
The number of cover stories for Atkore International depends on current market conditions and Atkore International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atkore International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atkore International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Atkore International Short Properties
Atkore International's future price predictability will typically decrease when Atkore International's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Atkore International Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Atkore International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atkore International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 34 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 506.7 M |
Additional Tools for Atkore Stock Analysis
When running Atkore International's price analysis, check to measure Atkore International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atkore International is operating at the current time. Most of Atkore International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atkore International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atkore International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atkore International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.