Trinity Industries Stock Price Prediction
| TRN Stock | USD 36.68 1.10 2.91% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
54
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.463 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.38 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.785 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.7 | Wall Street Target Price 36.5 |
Using Trinity Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Trinity Industries from the perspective of Trinity Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Trinity Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Trinity because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Trinity Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 36.65 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Trinity |
Trinity Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Trinity Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Trinity Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Trinity Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Trinity Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Trinity Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Trinity Industries' historical news coverage. Trinity Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.59 and 38.71, respectively. We have considered Trinity Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Trinity Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Trinity Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Trinity Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Trinity Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Trinity Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Trinity Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.06 | 0.03 | 0.04 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
36.68 | 36.65 | 0.08 |
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Trinity Industries Hype Timeline
On the 17th of December 2024 Trinity Industries is traded for 36.68. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. Trinity is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.65. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on Trinity Industries is about 941.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.64. About 94.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Trinity Industries was at this time reported as 12.86. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.78. Trinity Industries last dividend was issued on the 15th of January 2025. The entity had 1389:1000 split on the 1st of November 2018. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Trinity Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Trinity Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Trinity Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Trinity Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Trinity Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Trinity Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FSTR | LB Foster | 0.26 | 9 per month | 1.41 | 0.18 | 6.37 | (3.31) | 14.55 | |
| RAIL | Freightcar America | (0.23) | 9 per month | 7.43 | 0.04 | 10.67 | (9.71) | 46.49 | |
| WAB | Westinghouse Air Brake | 0.48 | 10 per month | 0.26 | 0.19 | 2.14 | (1.07) | 5.32 | |
| NSC | Norfolk Southern | (3.34) | 9 per month | 1.34 | (0.04) | 2.06 | (1.67) | 13.32 | |
| GBX | Greenbrier Companies | 1.32 | 10 per month | 0.67 | 0.18 | 3.46 | (1.52) | 19.01 | |
| CSX | CSX Corporation | 0.09 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.21 | (2.44) | 12.00 | |
| UNP | Union Pacific | (0.70) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.03 | (2.01) | 8.63 | |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway | 0.35 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 1.56 | (1.89) | 5.72 | |
| CNI | Canadian National Railway | (0.20) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 1.68 | (1.85) | 5.27 |
Trinity Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Trinity price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Trinity using various technical indicators. When you analyze Trinity charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Trinity Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Trinity Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Trinity Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Trinity Industries based on analysis of Trinity Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Trinity Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Trinity Industries's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0289 | 0.0318 | 0.0398 | 0.0418 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.02 | 1.22 | 0.72 | 0.5 |
Story Coverage note for Trinity Industries
The number of cover stories for Trinity Industries depends on current market conditions and Trinity Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Trinity Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Trinity Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Trinity Industries Short Properties
Trinity Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Trinity Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Trinity Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Trinity Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Trinity Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 105.7 M |
Check out Trinity Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Trinity Stock, please use our How to Invest in Trinity Industries guide.You can also try the Portfolio Center module to all portfolio management and optimization tools to improve performance of your portfolios.
Is Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Trinity Industries. If investors know Trinity will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Trinity Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.463 | Dividend Share 1.12 | Earnings Share 2.25 | Revenue Per Share 39.739 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Trinity Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Trinity that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Trinity Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Trinity Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Trinity Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Trinity Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Trinity Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Trinity Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Trinity Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.