Atlanticus Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| ATLCL Stock | USD 24.70 0.02 0.08% |
Atlanticus Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Atlanticus Holdings' stock price is about 61. This suggests that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Atlanticus, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Atlanticus Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Atlanticus Holdings from the perspective of Atlanticus Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Atlanticus Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 24.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.46. Atlanticus Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 24.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Atlanticus Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Atlanticus price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Atlanticus using various technical indicators. When you analyze Atlanticus charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Atlanticus Holdings Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Atlanticus Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 24.52 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.46.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atlanticus Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atlanticus Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Atlanticus Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Atlanticus Holdings | Atlanticus Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Atlanticus Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Atlanticus Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atlanticus Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.24 and 24.80, respectively. We have considered Atlanticus Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atlanticus Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atlanticus Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.6584 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0894 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0037 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 5.4559 |
Predictive Modules for Atlanticus Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlanticus Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlanticus Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atlanticus Holdings After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Atlanticus Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Atlanticus Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Atlanticus Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Atlanticus Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Atlanticus Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Atlanticus Holdings' historical news coverage. Atlanticus Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.42 and 24.98, respectively. We have considered Atlanticus Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Atlanticus Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Atlanticus Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Atlanticus Holdings Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Atlanticus Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Atlanticus Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Atlanticus Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.28 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
24.70 | 24.70 | 0.00 |
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Atlanticus Holdings Hype Timeline
Atlanticus Holdings is presently traded for 24.70. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Atlanticus is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Atlanticus Holdings is about 756.76%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.70. The company last dividend was issued on the 2nd of February 2026. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlanticus Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Atlanticus Stock please use our How to buy in Atlanticus Stock guide.Atlanticus Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Atlanticus Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Atlanticus Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Atlanticus Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Atlanticus Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WRLD | World Acceptance | (1.00) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.13 | (7.05) | 13.98 | |
| BBDC | Barings BDC | 0.01 | 11 per month | 0.84 | 0.06 | 1.44 | (1.34) | 4.34 | |
| JCAP | Jefferson Capital Common | (0.06) | 32 per month | 2.20 | 0.11 | 4.12 | (2.68) | 17.08 | |
| LX | Lexinfintech Holdings | 0.03 | 30 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 4.32 | (7.05) | 34.72 | |
| NRDS | Nerdwallet | 0.20 | 11 per month | 2.20 | 0.05 | 4.66 | (4.33) | 19.33 | |
| MSTR | MicroStrategy Incorporated | (0.09) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 5.78 | (7.55) | 15.68 | |
| GEMI | Gemini Space Station | 0.37 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 7.34 | (10.18) | 44.06 | |
| EZPW | EZCORP Inc | 0.40 | 12 per month | 1.86 | 0.06 | 3.30 | (2.94) | 8.84 | |
| CCAP | Crescent Capital BDC | 0.02 | 11 per month | 1.40 | 0.03 | 2.37 | (2.37) | 6.85 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | 0.49 | 17 per month | 1.45 | 0.08 | 2.92 | (2.35) | 10.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for Atlanticus Holdings
For every potential investor in Atlanticus, whether a beginner or expert, Atlanticus Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atlanticus Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atlanticus. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atlanticus Holdings' price trends.Atlanticus Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Atlanticus Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Atlanticus Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Atlanticus Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Atlanticus Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atlanticus Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atlanticus Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atlanticus Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atlanticus Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Atlanticus Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Atlanticus Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atlanticus Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atlanticus stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.189 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2833 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2817 | |||
| Variance | 0.0793 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.1329 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0803 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Atlanticus Holdings
The number of cover stories for Atlanticus Holdings depends on current market conditions and Atlanticus Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Atlanticus Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Atlanticus Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Atlanticus Holdings to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Atlanticus Stock please use our How to buy in Atlanticus Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlanticus Holdings. If investors know Atlanticus will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlanticus Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Atlanticus Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlanticus that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlanticus Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlanticus Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlanticus Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlanticus Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlanticus Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atlanticus Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlanticus Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.