Atlas Lithium Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ATLX Stock  USD 5.66  0.22  3.74%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atlas Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 5.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.06. Atlas Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Payables Turnover is likely to rise to 91.44 in 2025, despite the fact that Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (3.07). . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 12.2 M in 2025, whereas Net Loss is likely to drop (2.6 M) in 2025.
Triple exponential smoothing for Atlas Lithium - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Atlas Lithium prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Atlas Lithium price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Atlas Lithium.

Atlas Lithium Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Atlas Lithium on the next trading day is expected to be 5.61 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.1, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.06.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Atlas Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Atlas Lithium's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Atlas Lithium Stock Forecast Pattern

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Atlas Lithium Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Atlas Lithium's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Atlas Lithium's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1.47 and 9.75, respectively. We have considered Atlas Lithium's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.66
5.61
Expected Value
9.75
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Atlas Lithium stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Atlas Lithium stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0431
MADMean absolute deviation0.2382
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0334
SAESum of the absolute errors14.0557
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Atlas Lithium observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Atlas Lithium observations.

Predictive Modules for Atlas Lithium

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlas Lithium. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1.525.669.80
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.0911.1015.24
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
25.1827.6730.71
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.71-0.7-0.69
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Atlas Lithium

For every potential investor in Atlas, whether a beginner or expert, Atlas Lithium's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Atlas Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Atlas. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Atlas Lithium's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Atlas Lithium Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Atlas Lithium's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Atlas Lithium's current price.

Atlas Lithium Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Atlas Lithium stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Atlas Lithium shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Atlas Lithium stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Atlas Lithium entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Atlas Lithium Risk Indicators

The analysis of Atlas Lithium's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Atlas Lithium's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting atlas stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Atlas Stock Analysis

When running Atlas Lithium's price analysis, check to measure Atlas Lithium's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlas Lithium is operating at the current time. Most of Atlas Lithium's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlas Lithium's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlas Lithium's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlas Lithium to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.