AeroVironment Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| AVAV Stock | USD 307.75 4.37 1.40% |
AeroVironment Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength indicator of AeroVironment's share price is approaching 47. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AeroVironment, making its price go up or down. Momentum 47
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.757 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.4647 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.6133 | Wall Street Target Price 388.6244 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.789 |
Using AeroVironment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AeroVironment from the perspective of AeroVironment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AeroVironment using AeroVironment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AeroVironment using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AeroVironment's stock price.
AeroVironment Short Interest
An investor who is long AeroVironment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about AeroVironment and may potentially protect profits, hedge AeroVironment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 258.191 | Short Percent 0.0838 | Short Ratio 2.65 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.6 M | 50 Day MA 287.9862 |
AeroVironment Relative Strength Index
AeroVironment Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to AeroVironment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AeroVironment. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AeroVironment can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AeroVironment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AeroVironment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AeroVironment.
AeroVironment Implied Volatility | 0.85 |
AeroVironment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AeroVironment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AeroVironment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AeroVironment stock will not fluctuate a lot when AeroVironment's options are near their expiration.
AeroVironment after-hype prediction price | USD 307.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AeroVironment contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AeroVironment will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0531% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With AeroVironment trading at USD 307.75, that is roughly USD 0.16 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating AeroVironment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring AeroVironment options at the current volatility level of 0.85%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 AeroVironment Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AeroVironment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AeroVironment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AeroVironment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AeroVironment's open interest, investors have to compare it to AeroVironment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AeroVironment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in AeroVironment. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
AeroVironment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AeroVironment price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AeroVironment using various technical indicators. When you analyze AeroVironment charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (2.51) | (1.81) |
| Check AeroVironment Volatility | Backtest AeroVironment | Information Ratio |
AeroVironment Trading Date Momentum
| On January 26 2026 AeroVironment was traded for 307.75 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 314.75 and the lowest listed price was 300.00 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on January 26, 2026 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.88% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare AeroVironment to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for AeroVironment
For every potential investor in AeroVironment, whether a beginner or expert, AeroVironment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AeroVironment Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AeroVironment. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AeroVironment's price trends.AeroVironment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AeroVironment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AeroVironment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AeroVironment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AeroVironment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AeroVironment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AeroVironment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AeroVironment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AeroVironment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0469 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.30) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 307.38 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 307.5 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 14.75 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.81) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (4.37) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 47.58 |
AeroVironment Risk Indicators
The analysis of AeroVironment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AeroVironment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aerovironment stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.09 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.62 | |||
| Variance | 21.3 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AeroVironment
The number of cover stories for AeroVironment depends on current market conditions and AeroVironment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AeroVironment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AeroVironment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AeroVironment Short Properties
AeroVironment's future price predictability will typically decrease when AeroVironment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AeroVironment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AeroVironment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AeroVironment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 40.9 M |
Additional Tools for AeroVironment Stock Analysis
When running AeroVironment's price analysis, check to measure AeroVironment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AeroVironment is operating at the current time. Most of AeroVironment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AeroVironment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AeroVironment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AeroVironment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.