AvalonBay Communities Stock Forecast - Price Action Indicator
| AVB Stock | USD 174.94 1.09 0.62% |
AvalonBay Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AvalonBay Communities stock prices and determine the direction of AvalonBay Communities's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AvalonBay Communities' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of AvalonBay Communities' share price is approaching 46. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AvalonBay Communities, making its price go up or down. Momentum 46
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.024 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.6248 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.8351 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.1254 | Wall Street Target Price 200.1667 |
Using AvalonBay Communities hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AvalonBay Communities from the perspective of AvalonBay Communities response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AvalonBay Communities using AvalonBay Communities' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AvalonBay using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AvalonBay Communities' stock price.
AvalonBay Communities Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in AvalonBay Communities' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards AvalonBay. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of AvalonBay Communities stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 192.1447 | Short Percent 0.0599 | Short Ratio 5.99 | Shares Short Prior Month 5 M | 50 Day MA 179.6956 |
AvalonBay Relative Strength Index
AvalonBay Communities Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to AvalonBay Communities' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AvalonBay. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AvalonBay can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AvalonBay Communities. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AvalonBay Communities' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AvalonBay Communities.
AvalonBay Communities Implied Volatility | 0.27 |
AvalonBay Communities' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AvalonBay Communities stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AvalonBay Communities' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AvalonBay Communities stock will not fluctuate a lot when AvalonBay Communities' options are near their expiration.
AvalonBay Communities after-hype prediction price | USD 175.97 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AvalonBay contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AvalonBay Communities will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0169% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With AvalonBay Communities trading at USD 174.94, that is roughly USD 0.0295 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating AvalonBay Communities' daily price movement you should consider acquiring AvalonBay Communities options at the current volatility level of 0.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 AvalonBay Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AvalonBay Communities' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AvalonBay Communities' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AvalonBay Communities stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AvalonBay Communities' open interest, investors have to compare it to AvalonBay Communities' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AvalonBay Communities is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in AvalonBay. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
AvalonBay Communities Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AvalonBay price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AvalonBay using various technical indicators. When you analyze AvalonBay charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
| Previous Price Action Indicator | Price Action Indicator | Trend |
| (2.19) | (0.55) |
| Check AvalonBay Communities Volatility | Backtest AvalonBay Communities | Information Ratio |
AvalonBay Communities Trading Date Momentum
| On January 28 2026 AvalonBay Communities was traded for 174.94 at the closing time. Highest AvalonBay Communities's price during the trading hours was 174.94 and the lowest price during the day was 174.94 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on the 28th of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.62% . |
Price Action Indicator (or PAIN) was developed by Michael B. Geraty and published in 'Futures' magazine in August 1997.
| Compare AvalonBay Communities to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for AvalonBay Communities
For every potential investor in AvalonBay, whether a beginner or expert, AvalonBay Communities' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AvalonBay Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AvalonBay. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AvalonBay Communities' price trends.AvalonBay Communities Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AvalonBay Communities stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AvalonBay Communities could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AvalonBay Communities by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AvalonBay Communities Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AvalonBay Communities stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AvalonBay Communities shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AvalonBay Communities stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AvalonBay Communities entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 174.94 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 174.94 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.55) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (1.09) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 46.39 |
AvalonBay Communities Risk Indicators
The analysis of AvalonBay Communities' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AvalonBay Communities' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting avalonbay stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.8678 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.2 | |||
| Variance | 1.44 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AvalonBay Communities
The number of cover stories for AvalonBay Communities depends on current market conditions and AvalonBay Communities' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AvalonBay Communities is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AvalonBay Communities' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AvalonBay Communities Short Properties
AvalonBay Communities' future price predictability will typically decrease when AvalonBay Communities' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AvalonBay Communities often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AvalonBay Communities' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AvalonBay Communities' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 142.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 108.6 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AvalonBay Communities to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade AvalonBay Stock refer to our How to Trade AvalonBay Stock guide.You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Multi-Family Residential REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AvalonBay Communities. If investors know AvalonBay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AvalonBay Communities listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.024 | Dividend Share 6.95 | Earnings Share 8.2 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.044 |
The market value of AvalonBay Communities is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AvalonBay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AvalonBay Communities' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AvalonBay Communities' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AvalonBay Communities' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AvalonBay Communities' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AvalonBay Communities' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AvalonBay Communities is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AvalonBay Communities' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.