American Water Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| AWK Stock | USD 128.29 2.03 1.56% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Water Works on the next trading day is expected to be 128.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.01. American Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although American Water's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of American Water's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of American Water fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of American Water's share price is below 30 as of now. This suggests that the stock is becoming oversold or undervalued. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling American Water Works, making its price go up or down. Momentum 21
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.081 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.3037 | EPS Estimate Current Year 5.7267 | EPS Estimate Next Year 6.0908 | Wall Street Target Price 141 |
Using American Water hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Water Works from the perspective of American Water response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Water using American Water's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Water's stock price.
American Water Short Interest
An investor who is long American Water may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about American Water and may potentially protect profits, hedge American Water with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 139.4473 | Short Percent 0.0578 | Short Ratio 3.71 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.5 M | 50 Day MA 131.297 |
American Water Works Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to American Water's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Water Works. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Water's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Water.
American Water Implied Volatility | 0.32 |
American Water's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Water Works stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Water's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Water stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Water's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Water Works on the next trading day is expected to be 128.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.01. American Water after-hype prediction price | USD 128.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Water to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 American Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Water's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American Water's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American Water stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Water's open interest, investors have to compare it to American Water's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Water is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
American Water Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Water Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 6th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of American Water Works on the next trading day is expected to be 128.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.46, mean absolute percentage error of 4.41, and the sum of the absolute errors of 86.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict American Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that American Water's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
American Water Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest American Water | American Water Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
American Water Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting American Water's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. American Water's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 126.94 and 129.64, respectively. We have considered American Water's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of American Water stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent American Water stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.9186 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.3341 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4578 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 86.01 |
Predictive Modules for American Water
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as American Water Works. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of American Water's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for American Water
For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Water's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Water's price trends.American Water Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Water stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Water could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Water by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
American Water Works Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Water's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Water's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
American Water Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Water stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Water shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Water stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Water Works entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0234 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.66) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 129.82 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 129.31 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 3.07 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (2.55) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.03) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 21.87 |
American Water Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Water's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Water's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Variance | 1.96 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Water to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Rebalancing module to analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets.
Is Water Utilities space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Water. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Water listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.081 | Dividend Share 3.185 | Earnings Share 5.69 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.097 |
The market value of American Water Works is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Water's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Water's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Water's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Water's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Water's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Water is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Water's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.