Aware Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| AWRE Stock | USD 1.88 0.02 1.05% |
Aware Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Aware stock prices and determine the direction of Aware Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aware's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the relative strength indicator of Aware's share price is approaching 41. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Aware, making its price go up or down. Momentum 41
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | Wall Street Target Price 3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.333 |
Using Aware hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aware Inc from the perspective of Aware response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Aware using Aware's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Aware using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Aware's stock price.
Aware Implied Volatility | 1.87 |
Aware's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Aware Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Aware's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Aware stock will not fluctuate a lot when Aware's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Aware Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.02. Aware after-hype prediction price | USD 1.88 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aware to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Aware Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Aware's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Aware's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Aware stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Aware's open interest, investors have to compare it to Aware's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Aware is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Aware. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Aware Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aware price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aware using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aware charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Aware Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Aware Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 1.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.02.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aware Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aware's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Aware Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Aware | Aware Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Aware Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Aware's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aware's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.64, respectively. We have considered Aware's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aware stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aware stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.87 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0096 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0504 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0238 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.025 |
Predictive Modules for Aware
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aware Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Aware After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aware at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aware or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aware, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aware Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aware's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aware's historical news coverage. Aware's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.09 and 4.74, respectively. We have considered Aware's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aware is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aware Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aware Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aware is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aware backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aware, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 2.76 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
1.88 | 1.88 | 0.00 |
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Aware Hype Timeline
Aware Inc is presently traded for 1.88. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Aware is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.23%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aware is about 11500.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.87. About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.49. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Aware Inc recorded a loss per share of 0.27. The entity last dividend was issued on the 25th of July 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aware to cross-verify your projections.Aware Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aware's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aware's future price movements. Getting to know how Aware's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aware may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BLBX | Blackboxstocks | 0.05 | 20 per month | 6.22 | 0.09 | 13.09 | (11.22) | 37.55 | |
| BMR | Beamr Imaging Ltd | 0.09 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 6.90 | (8.19) | 19.23 | |
| SURG | Surgepays | (0.03) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 11.49 | (12.35) | 52.00 | |
| INLX | Intellinetics | 0.37 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 2.96 | (3.48) | 11.14 | |
| NUKK | Nukkleus | (0.06) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 13.02 | (12.32) | 38.98 | |
| NTWK | NetSol Technologies | (0.04) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.95 | (4.71) | 29.39 | |
| PHUN | Phunware | 0.09 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 5.24 | (5.94) | 13.16 | |
| KNRX | KNOREX LTD | 0.07 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 12.77 | (10.20) | 41.01 | |
| HKIT | Hitek Global Ordinary | (0.47) | 24 per month | 9.68 | 0.03 | 12.23 | (15.12) | 122.99 | |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | (0.31) | 23 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.05 | (4.73) | 17.73 |
Other Forecasting Options for Aware
For every potential investor in Aware, whether a beginner or expert, Aware's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aware Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aware. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aware's price trends.Aware Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aware stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aware could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aware by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Aware Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aware stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aware shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aware stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aware Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Aware Risk Indicators
The analysis of Aware's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aware's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aware stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.16 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.86 | |||
| Variance | 8.2 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Aware
The number of cover stories for Aware depends on current market conditions and Aware's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aware is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aware's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Aware Short Properties
Aware's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aware's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aware Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aware's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aware's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 21.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aware to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Will Application Software sector continue expanding? Could Aware diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aware. If investors know Aware will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Aware data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | Earnings Share (0.27) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.333 | Return On Assets |
Understanding Aware Inc requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Aware's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Aware's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Aware's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Aware's value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Aware represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Aware's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.