Axos Financial Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| AX Stock | USD 91.82 0.00 0.00% |
Axos Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Axos Financial's share price is at 57. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Axos Financial, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.005 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.04 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.296 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.242 | Wall Street Target Price 103.25 |
Using Axos Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Axos Financial from the perspective of Axos Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Axos Financial using Axos Financial's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Axos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Axos Financial's stock price.
Axos Financial Short Interest
An investor who is long Axos Financial may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Axos Financial and may potentially protect profits, hedge Axos Financial with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 80.5955 | Short Percent 0.0549 | Short Ratio 6.4 | Shares Short Prior Month 2 M | 50 Day MA 86.2498 |
Axos Relative Strength Index
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Axos Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 93.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.79.Axos Financial Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Axos Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Axos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Axos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Axos Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Axos Financial's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Axos Financial.
Axos Financial Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
Axos Financial's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Axos Financial stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Axos Financial's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Axos Financial stock will not fluctuate a lot when Axos Financial's options are near their expiration.
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Axos Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 93.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32 and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.79. Axos Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 91.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Axos Financial to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Axos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Axos Financial will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Axos Financial trading at USD 91.82, that is roughly USD 0.027 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Axos Financial's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Axos Financial options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Axos Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Axos Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Axos Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Axos Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Axos Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to Axos Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Axos Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Axos. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Axos Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Axos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Axos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Axos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Axos Financial Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Axos Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 93.56 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.32, mean absolute percentage error of 2.85, and the sum of the absolute errors of 80.79.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Axos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Axos Financial's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Axos Financial Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Axos Financial | Axos Financial Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Axos Financial Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Axos Financial's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Axos Financial's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 91.87 and 95.25, respectively. We have considered Axos Financial's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Axos Financial stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Axos Financial stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.157 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.3243 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0157 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 80.785 |
Predictive Modules for Axos Financial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Axos Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Axos Financial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Axos Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Axos Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Axos Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Axos Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Axos Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Axos Financial's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Axos Financial's historical news coverage. Axos Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 90.23 and 93.61, respectively. We have considered Axos Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Axos Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Axos Financial is based on 3 months time horizon.
Axos Financial Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Axos Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axos Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Axos Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.69 | 0.29 | 0.04 | 12 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
91.82 | 91.92 | 0.19 |
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Axos Financial Hype Timeline
As of January 26, 2026 Axos Financial is listed for 91.82. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Axos is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 91.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 133.07%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Axos Financial is about 894.18%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 91.86. The company generated the yearly revenue of 1.93 B. Reported Net Income was 432.91 M with gross profit of 1.2 B. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 12 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Axos Financial to cross-verify your projections.Axos Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Axos Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Axos Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how Axos Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Axos Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IBOC | International Bancshares | 0.48 | 11 per month | 1.43 | (0.02) | 2.75 | (2.10) | 7.54 | |
| FFIN | First Financial Bankshares | (0.31) | 12 per month | 1.25 | (0.02) | 2.50 | (2.22) | 6.03 | |
| HWC | Hancock Whitney Corp | 0.49 | 9 per month | 0.85 | 0.15 | 2.85 | (1.12) | 6.02 | |
| IFS | Intercorp Financial Services | (0.16) | 6 per month | 1.38 | 0.09 | 3.68 | (2.88) | 5.62 | |
| WBS | Webster Financial | 1.53 | 8 per month | 1.05 | 0.13 | 2.80 | (1.77) | 5.74 | |
| ABCB | Ameris Bancorp | (0.73) | 13 per month | 1.08 | 0.07 | 2.71 | (1.87) | 5.50 | |
| AUB | Atlantic Union Bankshares | (0.22) | 7 per month | 1.16 | 0.08 | 3.79 | (2.02) | 7.84 | |
| OZK | Bank Ozk | 1.30 | 8 per month | 1.30 | (0.04) | 2.43 | (2.13) | 6.11 | |
| UBSI | United Bankshares | (0.48) | 8 per month | 1.01 | 0.11 | 3.05 | (1.94) | 8.03 | |
| AVAL | Grupo Aval | (0.01) | 9 per month | 1.38 | 0.17 | 2.79 | (2.90) | 7.37 |
Other Forecasting Options for Axos Financial
For every potential investor in Axos, whether a beginner or expert, Axos Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Axos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Axos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Axos Financial's price trends.Axos Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Axos Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Axos Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axos Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Axos Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Axos Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Axos Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Axos Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Axos Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.058 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 93.81 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 93.15 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 5.6 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.99) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.42 |
Axos Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of Axos Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Axos Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting axos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.65 | |||
| Variance | 2.71 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.1 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.30) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Axos Financial
The number of cover stories for Axos Financial depends on current market conditions and Axos Financial's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Axos Financial is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Axos Financial's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Axos Financial Short Properties
Axos Financial's future price predictability will typically decrease when Axos Financial's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Axos Financial often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Axos Financial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Axos Financial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 58.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2 B |
Additional Tools for Axos Stock Analysis
When running Axos Financial's price analysis, check to measure Axos Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axos Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Axos Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axos Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axos Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axos Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.