Axos Financial Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AX Stock | USD 84.66 2.54 3.09% |
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon and your conservative risk appetite, our recommendation regarding Axos Financial is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Axos Financial given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Axos Financial. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Axos Financial, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Check out Axos Financial Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Axos Stock please use our How to Invest in Axos Financial guide. In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Axos and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Axos Financial. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in interest.
Axos |
Execute Axos Financial Buy or Sell Advice
The Axos recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Axos Financial. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Axos Financial or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Axos Financial's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Cautious Hold
Market Performance | OK | Details | |
Volatility | Very steady | Details | |
Hype Condition | Under hyped | Details | |
Current Valuation | Overvalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Very Small | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Hyperactively responds to market trends | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Not Rated | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Axos Financial Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Axos Financial had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Axos Financial is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Over 86.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 1431 shares by Nick Mosich of Axos Financial at 80.251 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Axos Financial Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Axos Financial's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Axos Financial's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Axos Financial daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Axos Financial price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Axos Financial returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Axos Financial.
| Mean Return | 0.47 | Value At Risk | -2.77 | Potential Upside | 4.23 | Standard Deviation | 3.37 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Axos Financial historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Axos Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument, such as Axos Financial, soars without any apparent reason? This usually happens because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Axos Financial back and forth among themselves.
| Shares | Fmr Inc | 2024-09-30 | 762.4 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2024-09-30 | 709.6 K | Geneva Capital Management | 2024-09-30 | 708.5 K | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2024-09-30 | 672.8 K | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2024-06-30 | 626.4 K | Jarislowsky Fraser Ltd | 2024-09-30 | 614.3 K | Ameriprise Financial Inc | 2024-06-30 | 543.7 K | Emerald Advisers, Llc | 2024-09-30 | 505.5 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-06-30 | 500.5 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-06-30 | 8.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-09-30 | 6.1 M |
Axos Financial Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 1.1B | (912.7M) | 536.9M | 807.4M | (196.3M) | (186.5M) | |
| Free Cash Flow | 254.3M | 402.1M | 184.5M | 157.7M | 289.6M | 304.1M | |
| Depreciation | 18.1M | 34.7M | 35.5M | 23.4M | 27.1M | 28.4M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (2.3M) | 43.8M | 31.0M | 5.3M | (115.9M) | (110.1M) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 12.3M | 10.4M | 21.5M | 30.2M | 36.0M | 37.8M | |
| Net Income | 183.4M | 215.7M | 240.7M | 307.2M | 450.0M | 472.5M | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 2.0B | 1.0B | 1.6B | 2.4B | 2.2B | 2.3B | |
| Change To Inventory | (9.3B) | (19.9M) | 11.7M | 465.8M | 419.2M | 440.2M | |
| Dividends Paid | 386K | 103K | 0.0 | 108.7M | 125.0M | 131.3M | |
| Investments | 5.1B | (47.7M) | (2.8B) | (2.4B) | (2.6B) | (2.5B) | |
| Change Receivables | (17.1M) | (149.5M) | (43.9M) | 43.3M | 39.0M | 41.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | (75.3M) | 97.7M | 173.2M | (111.8M) | (100.6M) | (95.6M) | |
| Change To Netincome | 76.2M | 47.8M | 56.9M | 12.4M | 14.2M | 13.5M |
Axos Financial Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Axos Financial or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Axos Financial's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Axos stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.07 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 3.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.27 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
Axos Financial Volatility Alert
Axos Financial has relatively low volatility with skewness of 3.53 and kurtosis of 19.29. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Axos Financial's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Axos Financial's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Axos Financial Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Axos Financial's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Axos Financial's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Axos Financial and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Axos Financial or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Axos Financial's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Axos Financial by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Axos Financial to competition |
| Fundamentals | Axos Financial | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.22 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0216 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.43 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.54 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 2.76 B | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 57.09 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 8.69 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 86.13 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 5.03 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 11.37 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 2.01 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 4.29 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 1.06 B | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 702.02 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 662.57 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 450.01 M | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 75 K | 2.7 B |
| Total Debt | 415.68 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.16 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 2.96 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 42.14 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 325.59 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 12.11 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 8.21 X | 3.12 X |
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.78 X | 4.89 X |
| Target Price | 79.43 | |
| Number Of Employees | 1.78 K | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 1.39 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 4.83 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 22.86 B | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 2.19 B | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 144.28 M | 1.48 B |
| Current Asset | 217.86 M | 9.34 B |
Note: Disposition of 1431 shares by Nick Mosich of Axos Financial at 80.251 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Axos Financial Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Axos . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Axos Financial Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Axos Financial? Buying financial instruments such as Axos Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
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Additional Tools for Axos Stock Analysis
When running Axos Financial's price analysis, check to measure Axos Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Axos Financial is operating at the current time. Most of Axos Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Axos Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Axos Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Axos Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.