American Axle Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution

AXL Stock  USD 6.49  0.08  1.25%   
American Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although American Axle's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of American Axle's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of American Axle fundamentals over time.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of American Axle's share price is below 20 . This suggests that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of American Axle's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of American Axle and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from American Axle's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Axle Manufacturing, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting American Axle's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.0041
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.4259
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.6574
Wall Street Target Price
7.3857
Using American Axle hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Axle Manufacturing from the perspective of American Axle response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards American Axle using American Axle's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards American using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of American Axle's stock price.

American Axle Short Interest

An investor who is long American Axle may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about American Axle and may potentially protect profits, hedge American Axle with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
5.1733
Short Percent
0.3451
Short Ratio
11.99
Shares Short Prior Month
26.9 M
50 Day MA
6.3548

American Axle Manufa Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to American Axle's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in American. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding American can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around American Axle Manufacturing. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of American Axle's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about American Axle.

American Axle Implied Volatility

    
  0.65  
American Axle's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of American Axle Manufacturing stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if American Axle's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that American Axle stock will not fluctuate a lot when American Axle's options are near their expiration.

American Axle after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.54  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Axle to cross-verify your projections.
At this time, American Axle's Inventory Turnover is quite stable compared to the past year. Receivables Turnover is expected to rise to 10.42 this year, although the value of Payables Turnover will most likely fall to 8.75. . Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is expected to rise to about 55 M this year, although the value of Common Stock Shares Outstanding will most likely fall to about 83.5 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 American Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast American Axle's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in American Axle's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for American Axle stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current American Axle's open interest, investors have to compare it to American Axle's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of American Axle is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in American. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

American Axle Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
American Axle Manufacturing has current Accumulation Distribution of 54031.5. The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which American Axle is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of American Axle Manufacturing to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by American Axle trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.
Check American Axle VolatilityBacktest American AxleInformation Ratio  

American Axle Trading Date Momentum

On January 02 2026 American Axle Manufacturing was traded for  6.49  at the closing time. Highest American Axle's price during the trading hours was 6.59  and the lowest price during the day was  6.35 . The net volume was 1.5 M. The overall trading history on the 2nd of January did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to current price is 0.46% .
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
Compare American Axle to competition

Other Forecasting Options for American Axle

For every potential investor in American, whether a beginner or expert, American Axle's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. American Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in American. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying American Axle's price trends.

American Axle Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with American Axle stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of American Axle could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing American Axle by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

American Axle Manufa Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of American Axle's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of American Axle's current price.

American Axle Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how American Axle stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading American Axle shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying American Axle stock market strength indicators, traders can identify American Axle Manufacturing entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

American Axle Risk Indicators

The analysis of American Axle's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Axle's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting american stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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When determining whether American Axle Manufa is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Axle's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Axle's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of American Axle to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the CEOs Directory module to screen CEOs from public companies around the world.
Is Automotive Parts & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Axle. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Axle listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.12)
Earnings Share
0.34
Revenue Per Share
49.395
Return On Assets
0.0295
Return On Equity
0.0628
The market value of American Axle Manufa is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Axle's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Axle's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Axle's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Axle's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Axle's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Axle is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Axle's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.