AZZ Incorporated Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| AZZ Stock | USD 134.40 0.05 0.04% |
AZZ Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength index (RSI) of AZZ Incorporated's share price is above 80 . This suggests that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 80
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AZZ Incorporated hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AZZ Incorporated from the perspective of AZZ Incorporated response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AZZ Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 134.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.79 and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.56. AZZ Incorporated after-hype prediction price | USD 133.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AZZ Incorporated to cross-verify your projections. AZZ Incorporated Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AZZ price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AZZ using various technical indicators. When you analyze AZZ charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AZZ Incorporated Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AZZ Incorporated on the next trading day is expected to be 134.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.79, mean absolute percentage error of 5.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 105.56.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AZZ Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AZZ Incorporated's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AZZ Incorporated Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AZZ Incorporated | AZZ Incorporated Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
AZZ Incorporated Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AZZ Incorporated's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AZZ Incorporated's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 132.69 and 136.06, respectively. We have considered AZZ Incorporated's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AZZ Incorporated stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AZZ Incorporated stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.2201 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.752 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.7892 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0149 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 105.56 |
Predictive Modules for AZZ Incorporated
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AZZ Incorporated. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.AZZ Incorporated After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AZZ Incorporated at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AZZ Incorporated or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AZZ Incorporated, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AZZ Incorporated Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AZZ Incorporated's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AZZ Incorporated's historical news coverage. AZZ Incorporated's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 131.97 and 135.37, respectively. We have considered AZZ Incorporated's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AZZ Incorporated is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AZZ Incorporated is based on 3 months time horizon.
AZZ Incorporated Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AZZ Incorporated is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AZZ Incorporated backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AZZ Incorporated, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.42 | 1.68 | 0.00 | 3.89 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
134.40 | 133.67 | 0.51 |
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AZZ Incorporated Hype Timeline
On the 26th of February AZZ Incorporated is traded for 134.40. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -3.89. AZZ is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 133.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.51%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.42%. The volatility of related hype on AZZ Incorporated is about 18.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 130.51. About 97.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of AZZ Incorporated was presently reported as 44.19. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.24. AZZ Incorporated recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.65. The entity last dividend was issued on the 5th of February 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 31st of July 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AZZ Incorporated to cross-verify your projections.AZZ Incorporated Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AZZ Incorporated's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AZZ Incorporated's future price movements. Getting to know how AZZ Incorporated's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AZZ Incorporated may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| WOR | Worthington Industries | 0.24 | 10 per month | 1.49 | (0) | 2.26 | (2.54) | 7.81 | |
| HAFN | Hafnia Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.15 | 3.43 | (2.25) | 8.51 | |
| MATX | Matson Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.71 | 0.28 | 3.38 | (2.01) | 13.46 | |
| TEX | Terex | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.69 | 0.17 | 6.44 | (3.23) | 21.59 | |
| SEB | Seaboard | (92.79) | 9 per month | 2.25 | 0.08 | 3.10 | (3.24) | 13.15 | |
| PLUG | Plug Power | 0.04 | 6 per month | 4.10 | 0 | 9.90 | (7.14) | 26.07 | |
| UNF | Unifirst | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.13 | 2.67 | (2.34) | 19.40 | |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.18 | (3.59) | 12.19 | |
| TNET | TriNet Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 4.76 | (9.84) | 17.37 | |
| AIR | AAR Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.88 | 0.25 | 4.20 | (1.93) | 7.12 |
Other Forecasting Options for AZZ Incorporated
For every potential investor in AZZ, whether a beginner or expert, AZZ Incorporated's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AZZ Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AZZ. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AZZ Incorporated's price trends.AZZ Incorporated Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AZZ Incorporated stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AZZ Incorporated could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AZZ Incorporated by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AZZ Incorporated Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AZZ Incorporated stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AZZ Incorporated shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AZZ Incorporated stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AZZ Incorporated entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AZZ Incorporated Risk Indicators
The analysis of AZZ Incorporated's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AZZ Incorporated's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting azz stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7992 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.68 | |||
| Variance | 2.83 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.32 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6387 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AZZ Incorporated
The number of cover stories for AZZ Incorporated depends on current market conditions and AZZ Incorporated's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AZZ Incorporated is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AZZ Incorporated's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AZZ Incorporated Short Properties
AZZ Incorporated's future price predictability will typically decrease when AZZ Incorporated's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AZZ Incorporated often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AZZ Incorporated's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AZZ Incorporated's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 29.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 M |
Additional Tools for AZZ Stock Analysis
When running AZZ Incorporated's price analysis, check to measure AZZ Incorporated's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AZZ Incorporated is operating at the current time. Most of AZZ Incorporated's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AZZ Incorporated's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AZZ Incorporated's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AZZ Incorporated to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.