Bed Bath Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BBBY Stock  USD 5.46  0.03  0.55%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bed Bath Beyond, on the next trading day is expected to be 4.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34 and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.65. Bed Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Inventory Turnover is likely to rise to 91.87 in 2026. Payables Turnover is likely to rise to 14.31 in 2026. Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 39.8 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Bed Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Bed Bath's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Bed Bath's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Bed Bath stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Bed Bath's open interest, investors have to compare it to Bed Bath's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Bed Bath is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Bed. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Bed Bath's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1991-12-31
Previous Quarter
147.5 M
Current Value
167.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
340.5 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Bed Bath is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bed Bath Beyond, value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bed Bath Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 2nd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bed Bath Beyond, on the next trading day is expected to be 4.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.34, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 20.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bed Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bed Bath's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bed Bath Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Bed BathBed Bath Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Bed Bath Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bed Bath's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bed Bath's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.22 and 8.31, respectively. We have considered Bed Bath's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
5.46
4.27
Expected Value
8.31
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bed Bath stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bed Bath stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.3339
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3385
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0494
SAESum of the absolute errors20.6491
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bed Bath Beyond,. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bed Bath. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bed Bath

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bed Bath Beyond,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.884.959.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.175.249.31
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.29-0.19-0.1
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Bed Bath. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Bed Bath's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Bed Bath's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Bed Bath Beyond,.

Other Forecasting Options for Bed Bath

For every potential investor in Bed, whether a beginner or expert, Bed Bath's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bed Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bed. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bed Bath's price trends.

Bed Bath Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bed Bath stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bed Bath could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bed Bath by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bed Bath Beyond, Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Bed Bath's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Bed Bath's current price.

Bed Bath Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bed Bath stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bed Bath shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bed Bath stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Bed Bath Beyond, entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bed Bath Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bed Bath's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bed Bath's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bed stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Bed Stock Analysis

When running Bed Bath's price analysis, check to measure Bed Bath's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bed Bath is operating at the current time. Most of Bed Bath's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bed Bath's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bed Bath's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bed Bath to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.