Barrett Business Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

BBSI Stock  USD 37.83  0.72  1.94%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Barrett Business Services on the next trading day is expected to be 38.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.68. Barrett Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Barrett Business' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 9th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Barrett Business' share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Barrett Business, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 50

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Barrett Business' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Barrett Business Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Barrett Business' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.509
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.7
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.1075
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.375
Wall Street Target Price
51
Using Barrett Business hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Barrett Business Services from the perspective of Barrett Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Barrett Business using Barrett Business' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Barrett using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Barrett Business' stock price.

Barrett Business Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Barrett Business' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Barrett. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Barrett Business stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
41.6326
Short Percent
0.0208
Short Ratio
2.49
Shares Short Prior Month
461.3 K
50 Day MA
36.4554

Barrett Business Services Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Barrett Business' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Barrett. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Barrett can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Barrett Business Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Barrett Business' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Barrett Business.

Barrett Business Implied Volatility

    
  1.0  
Barrett Business' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Barrett Business Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Barrett Business' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Barrett Business stock will not fluctuate a lot when Barrett Business' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Barrett Business Services on the next trading day is expected to be 38.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70 and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.68.

Barrett Business after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 37.83  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barrett Business to cross-verify your projections.
As of now, Barrett Business' Asset Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. . The Barrett Business' current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 29.7 M. The Barrett Business' current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 57.1 M.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Barrett Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Barrett Business' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Barrett Business' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Barrett Business stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Barrett Business' open interest, investors have to compare it to Barrett Business' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Barrett Business is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Barrett. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Barrett Business Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Barrett price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Barrett using various technical indicators. When you analyze Barrett charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Barrett Business Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Barrett Business' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1993-03-31
Previous Quarter
26.3 M
Current Value
47.7 M
Quarterly Volatility
26 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Barrett Business is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Barrett Business Services value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Barrett Business Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 10th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Barrett Business Services on the next trading day is expected to be 38.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.70, mean absolute percentage error of 0.95, and the sum of the absolute errors of 42.68.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Barrett Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Barrett Business' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Barrett Business Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Barrett BusinessBarrett Business Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Barrett Business Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Barrett Business' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Barrett Business' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.95 and 40.69, respectively. We have considered Barrett Business' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
37.83
38.32
Expected Value
40.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Barrett Business stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Barrett Business stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0601
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.6997
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0188
SAESum of the absolute errors42.6836
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Barrett Business Services. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Barrett Business. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Barrett Business

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barrett Business Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barrett Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.4837.8340.18
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
35.6237.9740.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
34.4436.2938.14
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
46.4151.0056.61
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Barrett Business

For every potential investor in Barrett, whether a beginner or expert, Barrett Business' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Barrett Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Barrett. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Barrett Business' price trends.

Barrett Business Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Barrett Business stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Barrett Business could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Barrett Business by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Barrett Business Services Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Barrett Business' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Barrett Business' current price.

Barrett Business Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Barrett Business stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Barrett Business shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Barrett Business stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Barrett Business Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Barrett Business Risk Indicators

The analysis of Barrett Business' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Barrett Business' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting barrett stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Barrett Business Services offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Barrett Business' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Barrett Business Services Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Barrett Business Services Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barrett Business to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is Human Resource & Employment Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barrett Business. If investors know Barrett will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Barrett Business listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.509
Dividend Share
0.32
Earnings Share
2.08
Revenue Per Share
47.537
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.1
The market value of Barrett Business Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barrett that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barrett Business' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barrett Business' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barrett Business' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barrett Business' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barrett Business' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barrett Business is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barrett Business' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.