Barrett Business Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BBSI Stock | USD 36.72 0.07 0.19% |
Barrett Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Barrett Business' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 30th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Barrett Business' share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Barrett Business, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.509 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.1075 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.375 | Wall Street Target Price 51 |
Using Barrett Business hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Barrett Business Services from the perspective of Barrett Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Barrett Business using Barrett Business' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Barrett using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Barrett Business' stock price.
Barrett Business Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Barrett Business' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Barrett. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Barrett Business stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 41.4623 | Short Percent 0.02 | Short Ratio 3.42 | Shares Short Prior Month 523.6 K | 50 Day MA 36.4694 |
Barrett Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Barrett Business Services on the next trading day is expected to be 36.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.51.Barrett Business Services Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Barrett Business' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Barrett. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Barrett can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Barrett Business Services. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Barrett Business' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Barrett Business.
Barrett Business Implied Volatility | 1.0 |
Barrett Business' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Barrett Business Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Barrett Business' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Barrett Business stock will not fluctuate a lot when Barrett Business' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Barrett Business Services on the next trading day is expected to be 36.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.51. Barrett Business after-hype prediction price | USD 36.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barrett Business to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Barrett contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Barrett Business Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0625% per day over the life of the 2026-02-20 option contract. With Barrett Business trading at USD 36.72, that is roughly USD 0.0229 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Barrett Business' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Barrett Business Services options at the current volatility level of 1.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Barrett Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Barrett Business' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Barrett Business' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Barrett Business stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Barrett Business' open interest, investors have to compare it to Barrett Business' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Barrett Business is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Barrett. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Barrett Business Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Barrett price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Barrett using various technical indicators. When you analyze Barrett charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Barrett Business Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Barrett Business Services on the next trading day is expected to be 36.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.53, mean absolute percentage error of 0.86, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.51.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Barrett Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Barrett Business' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Barrett Business Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Barrett Business | Barrett Business Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Barrett Business Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Barrett Business' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Barrett Business' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.32 and 39.12, respectively. We have considered Barrett Business' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Barrett Business stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Barrett Business stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.1229 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0635 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5252 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0146 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.51 |
Predictive Modules for Barrett Business
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Barrett Business Services. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barrett Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Barrett Business After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Barrett Business at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Barrett Business or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Barrett Business, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Barrett Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Barrett Business' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Barrett Business' historical news coverage. Barrett Business' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.29 and 39.09, respectively. We have considered Barrett Business' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Barrett Business is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Barrett Business Services is based on 3 months time horizon.
Barrett Business Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Barrett Business is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Barrett Business backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Barrett Business, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 2.40 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
36.72 | 36.69 | 0.08 |
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Barrett Business Hype Timeline
Barrett Business Services is currently traded for 36.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Barrett is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 36.69. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.08%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Barrett Business is about 1153.85%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.75. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Barrett Business was currently reported as 27.87. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.13. Barrett Business Services last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The entity had 4:1 split on the 24th of June 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barrett Business to cross-verify your projections.Barrett Business Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Barrett Business' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Barrett Business' future price movements. Getting to know how Barrett Business' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Barrett Business may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products | 0.02 | 7 per month | 2.94 | 0.03 | 4.06 | (5.33) | 11.80 | |
| HSII | Heidrick Struggles International | 0.38 | 33 per month | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.90 | (1.41) | 19.72 | |
| ASTE | Astec Industries | (0.79) | 11 per month | 1.72 | (0.02) | 3.72 | (2.82) | 7.79 | |
| GIC | Global Industrial Co | 0.21 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.63 | (1.85) | 18.84 | |
| LMB | Limbach Holdings | (0.52) | 29 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 4.25 | (5.25) | 12.56 | |
| RDW | Redwire Corp | (0.91) | 7 per month | 5.90 | 0.12 | 13.96 | (8.57) | 35.97 | |
| THR | Thermon Group Holdings | (0.26) | 10 per month | 1.20 | 0.29 | 4.30 | (2.28) | 15.73 | |
| ECO | Okeanis Eco Tankers | 4.09 | 19 per month | 2.03 | 0.12 | 4.38 | (3.36) | 15.37 | |
| PRG | PROG Holdings | (0.15) | 9 per month | 1.69 | 0.02 | 3.84 | (2.58) | 8.53 | |
| SFL | SFL Corporation | 0.01 | 7 per month | 1.08 | 0.16 | 3.12 | (1.60) | 13.61 |
Other Forecasting Options for Barrett Business
For every potential investor in Barrett, whether a beginner or expert, Barrett Business' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Barrett Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Barrett. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Barrett Business' price trends.Barrett Business Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Barrett Business stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Barrett Business could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Barrett Business by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Barrett Business Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Barrett Business stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Barrett Business shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Barrett Business stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Barrett Business Services entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Barrett Business Risk Indicators
The analysis of Barrett Business' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Barrett Business' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting barrett stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.33 | |||
| Variance | 5.43 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Barrett Business
The number of cover stories for Barrett Business depends on current market conditions and Barrett Business' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Barrett Business is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Barrett Business' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Barrett Business Short Properties
Barrett Business' future price predictability will typically decrease when Barrett Business' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Barrett Business Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Barrett Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barrett Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 26.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 121.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Barrett Business to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Is there potential for Human Resource & Employment Services market expansion? Will Barrett introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barrett Business. Projected growth potential of Barrett fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Barrett Business listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.509 | Dividend Share 0.32 | Earnings Share 2.08 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.1 |
Investors evaluate Barrett Business Services using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Barrett Business' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Barrett Business' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Barrett Business' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Barrett Business should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Barrett Business' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.