Brandywine Realty Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BDN Stock | USD 2.83 0.01 0.35% |
Brandywine Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Brandywine Realty's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Brandywine Realty's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Brandywine Realty fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Brandywine Realty's share price is approaching 43 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brandywine Realty, making its price go up or down. Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.506 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.12) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.01) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.43) | Wall Street Target Price 4.7 |
Using Brandywine Realty hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brandywine Realty Trust from the perspective of Brandywine Realty response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Brandywine Realty using Brandywine Realty's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Brandywine using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Brandywine Realty's stock price.
Brandywine Realty Short Interest
An investor who is long Brandywine Realty may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Brandywine Realty and may potentially protect profits, hedge Brandywine Realty with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 4.2236 | Short Percent 0.1256 | Short Ratio 4.89 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.4 M | 50 Day MA 3.9236 |
Brandywine Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brandywine Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 2.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.94.Brandywine Realty Trust Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Brandywine Realty's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Brandywine. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Brandywine can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Brandywine Realty Trust. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Brandywine Realty's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Brandywine Realty.
Brandywine Realty Implied Volatility | 1.51 |
Brandywine Realty's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Brandywine Realty Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Brandywine Realty's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Brandywine Realty stock will not fluctuate a lot when Brandywine Realty's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brandywine Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 2.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.94. Brandywine Realty after-hype prediction price | USD 2.83 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Brandywine contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Brandywine Realty Trust will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0944% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Brandywine Realty trading at USD 2.83, that is roughly USD 0.002671 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Brandywine Realty's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Brandywine Realty Trust options at the current volatility level of 1.51%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Brandywine Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Brandywine Realty's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Brandywine Realty's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Brandywine Realty stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Brandywine Realty's open interest, investors have to compare it to Brandywine Realty's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Brandywine Realty is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Brandywine. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Brandywine Realty Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brandywine price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brandywine using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brandywine charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Brandywine Realty Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brandywine Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 2.83 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.94.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brandywine Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brandywine Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Brandywine Realty Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Brandywine Realty | Brandywine Realty Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Brandywine Realty Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Brandywine Realty's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brandywine Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.76 and 4.90, respectively. We have considered Brandywine Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brandywine Realty stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brandywine Realty stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.7848 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.006 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.049 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.016 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.94 |
Predictive Modules for Brandywine Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brandywine Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brandywine Realty's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brandywine Realty After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brandywine Realty at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brandywine Realty or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brandywine Realty, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brandywine Realty Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brandywine Realty's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brandywine Realty's historical news coverage. Brandywine Realty's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.76 and 4.90, respectively. We have considered Brandywine Realty's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brandywine Realty is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brandywine Realty Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brandywine Realty Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brandywine Realty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brandywine Realty backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brandywine Realty, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.18 | 2.07 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.83 | 2.83 | 0.00 |
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Brandywine Realty Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Brandywine Realty Trust is traded for 2.83. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Brandywine is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.18%. %. The volatility of related hype on Brandywine Realty is about 1899.08%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.81. About 89.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.59. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Brandywine Realty Trust recorded a loss per share of 1.08. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of October 2025. The firm had 1:3 split on the 26th of November 1996. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brandywine Realty to cross-verify your projections.Brandywine Realty Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brandywine Realty's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brandywine Realty's future price movements. Getting to know how Brandywine Realty's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brandywine Realty may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NLOP | Net Lease Office | (0.73) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 1.85 | (1.87) | 7.34 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | (0.22) | 9 per month | 0.97 | 0.17 | 2.36 | (1.89) | 8.01 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | 0.43 | 8 per month | 0.94 | 0.10 | 1.73 | (1.72) | 4.98 | |
| PKST | Peakstone Realty Trust | (0.59) | 9 per month | 1.60 | 0.07 | 3.86 | (2.35) | 12.25 | |
| ADAM | New York Mortgage | 0.01 | 9 per month | 1.78 | 0.12 | 3.31 | (4.63) | 9.42 | |
| INN | Summit Hotel Properties | 0.15 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.84 | (3.72) | 11.15 | |
| PSTL | Postal Realty Trust | 0.27 | 8 per month | 0.66 | 0.22 | 2.27 | (1.42) | 5.03 | |
| RC | Ready Capital Corp | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 5.19 | (4.92) | 14.40 | |
| RWT | Redwood Trust | 0.10 | 9 per month | 1.88 | (0.01) | 3.26 | (2.82) | 8.72 | |
| BFS | Saul Centers | (0.37) | 10 per month | 1.15 | 0.03 | 1.78 | (1.75) | 4.95 |
Other Forecasting Options for Brandywine Realty
For every potential investor in Brandywine, whether a beginner or expert, Brandywine Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brandywine Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brandywine. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brandywine Realty's price trends.Brandywine Realty Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brandywine Realty stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brandywine Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brandywine Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brandywine Realty Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brandywine Realty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brandywine Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brandywine Realty stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brandywine Realty Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Brandywine Realty Risk Indicators
The analysis of Brandywine Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brandywine Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brandywine stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Variance | 4.38 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Brandywine Realty
The number of cover stories for Brandywine Realty depends on current market conditions and Brandywine Realty's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brandywine Realty is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brandywine Realty's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brandywine Realty Short Properties
Brandywine Realty's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brandywine Realty's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brandywine Realty Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brandywine Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brandywine Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 172.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 90.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brandywine Realty to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Will Diversified REITs sector continue expanding? Could Brandywine diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Brandywine Realty. Projected growth potential of Brandywine fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Brandywine Realty data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 5.506 | Dividend Share 0.53 | Earnings Share (1.08) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 15.713 |
Understanding Brandywine Realty Trust requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Brandywine's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Brandywine Realty's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Brandywine Realty's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Brandywine Realty's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Brandywine Realty should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Brandywine Realty's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.