Brookfield Renewable Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| BEP-UN Stock | CAD 43.71 0.10 0.23% |
Brookfield Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Brookfield Renewable stock prices and determine the direction of Brookfield Renewable Partners's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Brookfield Renewable's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Brookfield Renewable's stock price is about 67 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Brookfield, making its price go up or down. Momentum 67
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 44.649 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.30) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.44) | EPS Estimate Next Year (1.73) | Wall Street Target Price 40.6737 |
Using Brookfield Renewable hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Brookfield Renewable Partners from the perspective of Brookfield Renewable response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brookfield Renewable Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 43.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46 and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.86. Brookfield Renewable after-hype prediction price | CAD 43.62 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Brookfield |
Brookfield Renewable Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Brookfield price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Brookfield using various technical indicators. When you analyze Brookfield charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Brookfield Renewable Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Brookfield Renewable Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 43.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.46, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 27.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Brookfield Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Brookfield Renewable's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Brookfield Renewable Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Brookfield Renewable | Brookfield Renewable Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Brookfield Renewable Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Brookfield Renewable's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Brookfield Renewable's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.10 and 45.32, respectively. We have considered Brookfield Renewable's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Brookfield Renewable stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Brookfield Renewable stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.1475 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0829 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4567 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0116 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 27.8567 |
Predictive Modules for Brookfield Renewable
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Brookfield Renewable. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Brookfield Renewable's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Brookfield Renewable After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Brookfield Renewable at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Brookfield Renewable or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Brookfield Renewable, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Brookfield Renewable Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Brookfield Renewable's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Brookfield Renewable's historical news coverage. Brookfield Renewable's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 42.01 and 45.23, respectively. We have considered Brookfield Renewable's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Brookfield Renewable is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Brookfield Renewable is based on 3 months time horizon.
Brookfield Renewable Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Brookfield Renewable is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Brookfield Renewable backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Brookfield Renewable, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.61 | 0.09 | 0.08 | 6 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 6 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
43.71 | 43.62 | 0.21 |
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Brookfield Renewable Hype Timeline
Brookfield Renewable is currently traded for 43.71on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.08. Brookfield is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 43.62. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.21%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Brookfield Renewable is about 427.06%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 43.79. About 64.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.9. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Brookfield Renewable has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 108.76. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.34. The firm last dividend was issued on the 27th of February 2026. Brookfield Renewable had 3:2 split on the 14th of December 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in about 6 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brookfield Renewable to cross-verify your projections.Brookfield Renewable Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Brookfield Renewable's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Brookfield Renewable's future price movements. Getting to know how Brookfield Renewable's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Brookfield Renewable may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BEPC | Brookfield Renewable Corp | 0.97 | 9 per month | 1.65 | (0.03) | 2.27 | (2.60) | 9.63 | |
| BIP-PE | Brookfield Infrastructure Partners | (0.28) | 9 per month | 0.36 | (0.03) | 1.01 | (0.84) | 2.56 | |
| CPX | Capital Power | 0.65 | 7 per month | 2.04 | (0.01) | 2.98 | (2.89) | 9.88 | |
| BIPC | Brookfield Infrastructure Corp | 1.09 | 8 per month | 1.08 | 0.02 | 2.19 | (1.94) | 7.21 | |
| NPI | Northland Power | 0.17 | 6 per month | 1.28 | 0.09 | 2.59 | (2.38) | 7.30 | |
| AQN | Algonquin Power Utilities | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.87 | 0.07 | 2.89 | (1.43) | 6.43 | |
| CU | Canadian Utilities Limited | 0.41 | 2 per month | 0.36 | 0.18 | 1.75 | (1.03) | 3.36 | |
| ALA | AltaGas | 0.07 | 9 per month | 1.01 | (0.01) | 1.66 | (1.80) | 4.16 | |
| EMA | Emera Inc | 0.75 | 7 per month | 0.78 | (0.02) | 1.35 | (1.27) | 4.28 | |
| TA | TransAlta Corp | (0.11) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 3.53 | (4.15) | 11.27 |
Other Forecasting Options for Brookfield Renewable
For every potential investor in Brookfield, whether a beginner or expert, Brookfield Renewable's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Brookfield Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Brookfield. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Brookfield Renewable's price trends.Brookfield Renewable Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Brookfield Renewable stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Brookfield Renewable could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Brookfield Renewable by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Brookfield Renewable Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Brookfield Renewable stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Brookfield Renewable shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Brookfield Renewable stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Brookfield Renewable Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Brookfield Renewable Risk Indicators
The analysis of Brookfield Renewable's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Brookfield Renewable's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brookfield stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.15 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.54 | |||
| Variance | 2.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.86 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.18) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Brookfield Renewable
The number of cover stories for Brookfield Renewable depends on current market conditions and Brookfield Renewable's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Brookfield Renewable is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Brookfield Renewable's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Brookfield Renewable Short Properties
Brookfield Renewable's future price predictability will typically decrease when Brookfield Renewable's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Brookfield Renewable Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Brookfield Renewable's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Brookfield Renewable's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 287 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Brookfield Renewable to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.