Bankinter Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

BKIMF Stock  USD 16.41  0.16  0.98%   
Bankinter Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Bankinter's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026 The relative strength index (RSI) of Bankinter's share price is above 80 suggesting that the pink sheet is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 100

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Bankinter's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bankinter and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bankinter's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bankinter SA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Bankinter hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bankinter SA from the perspective of Bankinter response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bankinter SA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.27.

Bankinter after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.41  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bankinter to cross-verify your projections.

Bankinter Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Bankinter price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bankinter using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bankinter charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Bankinter is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Bankinter SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Bankinter Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Bankinter SA on the next trading day is expected to be 16.64 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.27.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Bankinter Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Bankinter's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Bankinter Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Bankinter Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Bankinter's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Bankinter's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.09 and 17.18, respectively. We have considered Bankinter's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.41
16.64
Expected Value
17.18
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Bankinter pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Bankinter pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.845
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0865
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0054
SAESum of the absolute errors5.2743
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Bankinter SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Bankinter. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Bankinter

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Bankinter SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
15.8716.4116.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.6316.1716.71
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
16.1616.2716.38
Details

Bankinter After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Bankinter at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bankinter or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Bankinter, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Bankinter Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Bankinter's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bankinter's historical news coverage. Bankinter's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 15.87 and 16.95, respectively. We have considered Bankinter's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.41
16.41
After-hype Price
16.95
Upside
Bankinter is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bankinter SA is based on 3 months time horizon.

Bankinter Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bankinter is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bankinter backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bankinter, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
0.54
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.41
16.41
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Bankinter Hype Timeline

Bankinter SA is currently traded for 16.41. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bankinter is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bankinter is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.41. About 29.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.13. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bankinter SA last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2022. The entity had 1555:1000 split on the 4th of April 2013. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Bankinter to cross-verify your projections.

Bankinter Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Bankinter's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bankinter's future price movements. Getting to know how Bankinter's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bankinter may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NBGIFNational Bank of 0.00 0 per month 2.09  0.08  6.95 (4.06) 14.13 
EGFEYEurobank Ergasias SA 0.00 0 per month 3.60  0.02  5.63 (4.64) 21.83 
NBGRYNational Bank of 0.00 0 per month 3.82  0.06  7.57 (6.36) 20.59 
KPCPYKasikornbank Public Co 0.00 0 per month 2.15  0.09  3.98 (3.32) 11.07 
EGFEFEurobank Ergasias Services 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  10.03 
PBNNFPT Bank Negara 0.00 0 per month 22.93  0.16  92.86 (48.78) 186.32 
BKPKFBank Polska Kasa 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  0.00  0.00  6.90 
FCBBFFinecoBank Banca Fineco 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.03  0.00  0.00  7.58 
TKGBYTurkiye Garanti Bankasi 0.00 0 per month 2.07  0.07  4.62 (4.86) 14.53 
BPCGFBanco Comercial Portugus 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.03  0.00  0.00  4.35 

Other Forecasting Options for Bankinter

For every potential investor in Bankinter, whether a beginner or expert, Bankinter's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Bankinter Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Bankinter. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Bankinter's price trends.

Bankinter Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Bankinter pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Bankinter could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Bankinter by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Bankinter Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Bankinter pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Bankinter shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Bankinter pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Bankinter SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Bankinter Risk Indicators

The analysis of Bankinter's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Bankinter's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting bankinter pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Bankinter

The number of cover stories for Bankinter depends on current market conditions and Bankinter's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bankinter is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bankinter's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Bankinter Pink Sheet

Bankinter financial ratios help investors to determine whether Bankinter Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Bankinter with respect to the benefits of owning Bankinter security.