Andover Bancorp Stock Price Prediction

ANDC Stock  USD 19.50  0.00  0.00%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Andover Bancorp's share price is approaching 49. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Andover Bancorp, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Andover Bancorp's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Andover Bancorp, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Andover Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Andover Bancorp from the perspective of Andover Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Andover Bancorp to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Andover because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Andover Bancorp after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 19.48  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Andover Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Andover Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
17.5419.1420.75
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
18.1219.7221.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
18.0618.8819.70
Details

Andover Bancorp After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Andover Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Andover Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Andover Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Andover Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Andover Bancorp's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Andover Bancorp's historical news coverage. Andover Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 17.88 and 21.08, respectively. We have considered Andover Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
19.50
19.48
After-hype Price
21.08
Upside
Andover Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Andover Bancorp is based on 3 months time horizon.

Andover Bancorp Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Andover Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Andover Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Andover Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.10 
1.60
  0.02 
  0.48 
4 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
19.50
19.48
0.10 
941.18  
Notes

Andover Bancorp Hype Timeline

Andover Bancorp is presently traded for 19.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.48. Andover is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 19.48. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.1%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Andover Bancorp is about 33.51%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.02. The company last dividend was issued on the 16th of December 2022. Andover Bancorp had 50:1 split on the 30th of October 2013. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Andover Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Andover Bancorp Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Andover Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Andover Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Andover Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Andover Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ALBYCommunity Capital Bancshares 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.23) 0.85 (0.85) 4.47 
MFBPMF Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 1.04 (0.02) 2.28 (2.34) 5.87 
HCBNHCB Financial Corp(30.91)3 per month 0.00  0.12  1.30 (0.16) 4.33 
OAKVOak View National 0.00 0 per month 0.84 (0) 2.18 (1.13) 6.83 
WDFNWoodlands Financial Services 0.00 0 per month 0.74  0.02  1.50 (1.66) 9.15 
CIZNCitizens Holding(0.02)2 per month 0.97  0.17  2.53 (1.76) 9.52 
VTYBThe Victory Bancorp(10.91)7 per month 0.15  0.06  0.96 (0.94) 4.41 
OSBKOconee Financial 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.1  1.29  0.00  5.23 
EXCHExchange Bankshares 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.08  0.00  0.00  16.50 
FMFPFirst Community Financial(5.91)2 per month 0.00  0.08  5.18 (2.11) 12.44 

Andover Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Andover price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Andover using various technical indicators. When you analyze Andover charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Andover Bancorp Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Andover Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Andover Bancorp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Andover Bancorp based on analysis of Andover Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Andover Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Andover Bancorp's related companies.

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When running Andover Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Andover Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Andover Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Andover Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Andover Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Andover Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Andover Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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