Oak Ridge Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

BKOR Stock  USD 20.25  0.05  0.25%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Oak Ridge Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 20.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.01. Oak Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Oak Ridge price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Oak Ridge Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Oak Ridge Financial on the next trading day is expected to be 20.18 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Oak Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Oak Ridge's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Oak Ridge Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Oak Ridge Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Oak Ridge's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Oak Ridge's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.18 and 21.17, respectively. We have considered Oak Ridge's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.25
20.18
Expected Value
21.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Oak Ridge pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Oak Ridge pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.6644
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2461
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0128
SAESum of the absolute errors15.0121
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Oak Ridge Financial historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Oak Ridge

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Oak Ridge Financial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
19.2520.2521.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.6719.6720.67
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
20.2520.2520.25
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Oak Ridge

For every potential investor in Oak, whether a beginner or expert, Oak Ridge's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Oak Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Oak. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Oak Ridge's price trends.

View Oak Ridge Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Oak Ridge Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Oak Ridge's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Oak Ridge's current price.

Oak Ridge Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Oak Ridge pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Oak Ridge shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Oak Ridge pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Oak Ridge Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Oak Ridge Risk Indicators

The analysis of Oak Ridge's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Oak Ridge's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting oak pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with Oak Ridge

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Oak Ridge position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Oak Ridge will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Oak Pink Sheet

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Oak Ridge could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Oak Ridge when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Oak Ridge - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Oak Ridge Financial to buy it.
The correlation of Oak Ridge is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Oak Ridge moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Oak Ridge Financial moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Oak Ridge can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Additional Tools for Oak Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Oak Ridge's price analysis, check to measure Oak Ridge's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Oak Ridge is operating at the current time. Most of Oak Ridge's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Oak Ridge's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Oak Ridge's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Oak Ridge to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.